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Marlins vs. Nationals Dunkel MLB Picks, Predictions and Prop Bets - May 9

09 May 2026 By Data Skrive

The Washington Nationals carry a three-game winning streak into a home contest versus the Miami Marlins, at 4:10 p.m. ET on Saturday. Janson Junk (2-3, 2.82 ERA) will start for the Marlins, who are 17-22 this season and fourth in the NL East. Zack Littell (1-4, 7.24 ERA) is starting for the Nationals, who are 19-20 and second in the NL East.

The Marlins (-161) are moneyline favorites at home over the Nationals (+134). The contest has an over/under set at 8.5.

Marlins vs. Nationals Odds, Game Time

  • Game day: Saturday, May 9, 2026
  • Game time: 4:10 p.m. ET
  • Location: Miami, Florida
  • Stadium: loanDepot park
  • Favorite: Marlins (-161)
  • Underdog: Nationals (+134)
  • Over/under: 8.5

How to Watch Marlins vs. Nationals

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Marlins vs. Nationals: Betting the Moneyline

  • The Marlins have won 56.5% of the games this season when they were favored on the moneyline (13-10).
  • Washington has won in 18, or 48.6%, of the 37 contests it has been named as odds-on underdogs in this year.
  • Miami has entered three games this season favored by -161 or more, and won each of those games.
  • This season, the Nationals have been victorious 10 times in 19 chances when named as an underdog of at least +134 or worse on the moneyline.
  • Based on this contest's moneyline, the Marlins have an implied win probability of 61.7%.
  • The Nationals have an implied victory probability of 42.7% according to the moneyline set by oddsmakers for this matchup.

Marlins vs. Nationals: Betting the Spread & Total

  • In the 39 games in which bookmakers have set an over/under for the Marlins, they have combined with opponents to go over the total 22 times (22-16-1).
  • Games involving Washington have gone over the total set by bookmakers in 24 of 39 chances this season.
  • The Marlins have put together a 17-22-0 record against the spread this season (covering 43.6% of the time).
  • The Nationals have posted a record of 23-16-0 against the spread this season.
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