Heat vs. Kings Dunkel NBA Picks, Predictions and Odds - Dec. 6

The Sacramento Kings (5-17) will look to snap a four-game losing skid when visiting the Miami Heat (14-9) on December 6, 2025 at Kaseya Center.

Miami is a solid 8.5-point favorite against Sacramento when the Heat take on the Kings on Saturday. The game has a point total of 239.5.

Heat vs. Kings Odds and Game Time

• Game day: Saturday, December 6, 2025
• Game time: 8 p.m. ET
• Location: Miami, Florida
• Arena: Kaseya Center
• Total: 239.5 points
• Spread: Heat -8.5
• Moneyline: Heat (-370), Kings (+295)

How to watch Heat vs. Kings

• TV Channel: FanDuel Sports Network Sun
• Live Stream: Fubo

Betting the Over/Under: Heat vs. Kings

• In 12 games this season, the Heat and their opponents have gone over 239.5 total points.
• The Kings have played six games this season that finished with a point total above 239.5 points.
• These two teams average a combined 233.8 points per game, 5.7 fewer points than this matchup's point total.
• These teams give up 240.7 points per game combined, 1.2 more points than the total for this matchup.

Betting the Spread: Heat vs. Kings

• Miami has won 14 games against the spread this season, while failing to cover or pushing nine times.
• The Heat have covered the spread once this season (1-1 ATS) when playing as at least 8.5-point favorites.
• The Kings have won seven games against the spread this season, while failing to cover or pushing 15 times.
• Sacramento has been an underdog by 8.5 points or more 10 times this year, and covered the spread in five of those matchups.
• At home this season, the Heat are 8-4 against the spread and 10-2 overall.
• Miami has one win ATS (1-1) as a 8.5-point favorite or more at home.
• The Kings are 2-10 overall, and 5-6-1 against the spread, away from home.

Betting the Moneyline: Heat vs. Kings

• The Heat are 7-3 in games they were listed as the moneyline favorite (winning 70% of those games).
• The Kings have been underdogs in 19 games this season and won three (15.8%) of those contests.
• Miami has played as a moneyline favorite of -370 or shorter twice this season, and won both.
• This season, Sacramento has won two of its seven games when it is the underdog by at least +295 on the moneyline.
• The Heat have an implied moneyline win probability of 78.7% in this contest.

Dunkel Index Prediction for Heat vs. Kings

• Pick ATS: Heat (- 8.5)
• Pick OU: Over (239.5)
  
• Prediction: Heat 128 - Kings 116
• Check out the rest of our Dunkel Index NBA Picks!