Heat vs. Pistons Dunkel NBA Picks, Predictions and Odds - Nov. 29

The Miami Heat (13-6) will attempt to continue a six-game winning streak when hosting the Detroit Pistons (15-4) on November 29, 2025 at Kaseya Center.

The Heat are currently modest 3.5-point favorites over the Pistons. A 238.5-point over/under has been set for the game.

Heat vs. Pistons Odds and Game Time

• Game day: Saturday, November 29, 2025
• Game time: 8 p.m. ET
• Location: Miami, Florida
• Arena: Kaseya Center
• Total: 238.5 points
• Spread: Heat -3.5
• Moneyline: Heat (-164), Pistons (+138)

How to watch Heat vs. Pistons

• TV Channel: FanDuel Sports Network Detroit Extra
• Live Stream: Fubo

Betting the Over/Under: Heat vs. Pistons

• In 11 games this season, the Heat and their opponents have gone over 238.5 combined points.
• The Pistons have played five games this season that have had more than 238.5 combined points scored.
• These two teams score 241.7 points per game combined, 3.2 more than this game's over/under.
• Combined, these teams give up 230 points per game, 8.5 fewer points than this matchup's total.

Betting the Spread: Heat vs. Pistons

• Miami has put together a 12-6-1 record against the spread this season.
• The Heat have been favored by 3.5 points or more six times this season, and covered the spread in three of those matchups.
• The Pistons are 12-7-0 ATS this year.
• Detroit has been an underdog by 3.5 points or more once this season, and covered the spread.
• At home this season, the Heat are 9-1 overall and 7-3 against the spread.
• At home, Miami is 3-3 ATS as a 3.5-point favorite or greater.
• In away games, the Pistons are 7-2 overall and 5-4 against the spread.
• As 3.5-point underdogs or more away from home, Detroit is 3-3 ATS.

Betting the Moneyline: Heat vs. Pistons

• The Heat have won six of the seven games they were listed as the moneyline favorite this season (85.7%).
• The Pistons have entered the game as underdogs five times this season and won four of those games.
• Miami has a record of 5-1 when playing as a moneyline favorite with odds of -164 or shorter (winning 83.3%).
• Detroit has played as an underdog of +138 or more once this season and won that game.
• The implied moneyline probability in this matchup gives the Heat a 62.1% chance to win.

Dunkel Index Prediction for Heat vs. Pistons

• Pick ATS: Pistons (+ 3.5)
• Pick OU: Under (238.5)
  
• Prediction: Pistons 116 - Heat 115
• Check out the rest of our Dunkel Index NBA Picks!