Miami (FL) vs. Missouri Dunkel Predictions & Vegas Odds - First Round
18 March 2026

The No. 7 seed Miami Hurricanes (25-8) and the No. 10 seed Missouri Tigers (20-12) will meet in the opening round of the NCAA Tournament on Friday at 10:10 p.m. ET. Miami (FL) is favored by 1.5 points in the matchup, which airs on truTV. Here's everything you need to know about this 7-10 matchup when filling out your brackets. The matchup's point total is 145.5.
Miami (FL) heads into this contest following an 84-62 loss to Virginia on Friday. Tru Washington scored a team-high 13 points for Miami (FL) in the loss. Missouri's most recent outing was a 78-72 loss to Kentucky on Thursday. Mark Mitchell scored 32 points in Missouri's loss, leading the team.
Miami (FL) vs. Missouri Odds and Game Time
- When: Friday, March 20, 2026 at 10:10 p.m. ET
- Where: Enterprise Center in St. Louis, Missouri
- Spread favorite: Miami (FL) -1.5
- Moneyline favorite: Miami (FL) -121
- Moneyline underdog: Missouri -101
- Over/Under: 145.5 points
How to watch Miami (FL) vs. Missouri
- TV Channel: truTV
- Check out the rest of our Dunkel Index NCAA Basketball Picks!
Betting the Over/Under: Miami (FL) vs. Missouri
- Miami (FL) and its opponents have combined to outscore Friday's total (145.5 points) 22 times this season.
- A total of 22 of Missouri's games have finished with a combined score higher than 145.5 points this season.
- The Hurricanes average 81.9 points per game against the Tigers' 79.7, amounting to 16.1 points over the game's total of 145.5.
- This game's over/under is 1.0 less than the 146.5 points these two teams combine to allow per game.
- Miami (FL) has a 153.1 average over/under in its games this season, 7.6 more points than the over/under in this contest.
- A difference of 9.5 points separates the average over/under in Missouri's games (155 points) and this game's over/under (145.5).
Betting the Spread: Miami (FL) vs. Missouri
- Miami (FL) is 18-15-0 against the spread this year.
- The Hurricanes are 11-11 ATS when favored by 1.5 points or more this season.
- Missouri is 14-18-0 against the spread this year.
- The Tigers have been underdogs by 1.5 points or more 14 times this season and are 7-7 ATS in those contests.
- Miami (FL) is 8-10 against the spread, and 15-3 overall, at home.
- At home, Miami (FL) is 7-10 ATS as a 1.5-point favorite or greater.
- On the road, Missouri is 6-5 against the spread, and 5-6 overall.
- As 1.5-point underdogs or more on the road, Missouri is 3-1 ATS.
Betting the Moneyline: Miami (FL) vs. Missouri
- This season, Miami (FL) has won 15 out of the 18 games, or 83.3%, in which it has been the moneyline favorite.
- This season, the Hurricanes have won 15 of their 18 games, or 83.3%, when favored by at least -121 on the moneyline.
- Miami (FL) has a 54.8% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
- Missouri has won in six, or 42.9%, of the 14 contests it has been named as the moneyline underdog this year.
- This year, the Tigers have won five of 10 games when listed as at least -101 or worse on the moneyline.
- Missouri has an implied victory probability of 50.2% according to the moneyline set by oddsmakers for this matchup.
