Merrimack vs. Rider Dunkel Predictions & Vegas Odds - Dec. 4

The Merrimack Warriors (3-6, 0-0 MAAC) host the Rider Broncs (1-5, 0-0 MAAC) at Lawler Arena, starting at 7 p.m. ET on Thursday, December 4, 2025. The Broncs are 9.5-point underdogs in the game. The matchup has an over/under of 137.5 points.

Their last time out, Merrimack won on Sunday 66-60 against La Salle. Ernest Shelton scored a team-leading 17 points for Merrimack in the victory. Rider heads into this matchup on the heels of a 68-65 loss to Coppin State on Tuesday. Zion Cruz totaled 18 points, four rebounds and one assist for Rider.

Merrimack vs. Rider Odds and Game Time

• When: Thursday, December 4, 2025 at 7 p.m. ET
• Where: Lawler Arena in North Andover, Massachusetts
• Spread favorite: Merrimack -9.5
• Moneyline favorite: Merrimack -524
• Moneyline underdog: Rider +388
• Over/Under: 137.5 points

How to watch Merrimack vs. Rider

• TV Channel: ESPN+
• Check out the rest of our Dunkel Index NCAA Basketball Picks!

Betting the Over/Under: Merrimack vs. Rider

• Merrimack and its opponents have hit the over on this game's total (137.5 points) five times this season.
• This season, two Rider games have ended with more combined points than Thursday's over/under of 137.5.
• The point total for the matchup of 137.5 is 11.6 points more than the combined points per game averages for the Warriors (64.7 points per game) and the Broncs (61.2 points per game).
• This game's point total is 18.6 fewer points than the 156.1 these two teams combine to allow per game in 2024.
• Merrimack has seen a 140.8 average over/under in its games this season, 3.3 points more than the over/under in this contest.
• The over/under for this game is 3.7 points lower than the average over/under in Rider's games this season of 141.2.

Betting the Spread: Merrimack vs. Rider

• Merrimack is 4-5-0 against the spread this season.
• Rider is winless against the spread this year.
• The Broncs have been underdogs by 9.5 points or more four times this season and have not covered the spread once.
• Rider is 0-4 overall, and winless against the spread, on the road.

Betting the Moneyline: Merrimack vs. Rider

• Merrimack won the only game it has played as the moneyline favorite this season.
• The Warriors have not been a bigger favorite this season than the -524 moneyline set for this game.
• The bookmakers' moneyline implies a 84% chance of a victory for Merrimack.
• Rider has been posted as the moneyline underdog three times this season but has yet walk away from any of those games with an upset.
• The Broncs have won all of their three games in which they were named as at least a +388 moneyline underdog.
• Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that Rider has a 20.5% chance of pulling out a win.