flexoffers
Back

Mercury vs. Wings: Betting Trends, Odds, Records Against the Spread, Predictions - July 7

06 July 2025 By Data Skrive

The Dallas Wings (6-13) will turn to Arike Ogunbowale (16.8 points per game, 15th in WNBA) when they try to take down Satou Sabally (19.1, sixth) and the Phoenix Mercury (12-6) on Monday, July 7, 2025 at PHX Arena. It begins at 10 p.m. ET on KFAA and AZFamily.

In Phoenix's previous game, it fell to Dallas 98-89 on the road, with Kahleah Copper (33 PTS, 58.8 FG%, 4-7 from 3PT) and Sabally (20 PTS, 2 STL, 33.3 FG%, 2-5 from 3PT) the standout performers. For the Wings, Aziaha James (28 PTS, 6 AST, 50 FG%, 5-9 from 3PT) and Paige Bueckers (23 PTS, 5 AST, 72.7 FG%, 2-4 from 3PT) were the top performers.

Bet now!

Mercury vs. Wings Betting Lines

Snag a peek below at the most recent betting lines for the Mercury-Wings game.

  • Favorite: Mercury (-6)
  • Total: 165
  • Mercury Moneyline: -260
  • Wings Moneyline: +205

Pick with the best in the business! Get free picks for every game, every week at the Dunkel Index.

Mercury Betting Insights

  • The implied moneyline probability for this matchup gives the Mercury a 72.2% chance to win.
  • Phoenix has won 81.8% of its games this season when favored on the moneyline (9-2).
  • The Mercury are 10-8-0 ATS this season.
  • In 10 games this season, Phoenix and its opponents have scored more than 165 total points.
  • Mercury outings this year have an average total of 161.4, 3.6 fewer points than this game's over/under.

Wings Betting Insights

  • The sportsbooks' moneyline implies a 32.8% chance of a victory for the Wings.
  • This season, Dallas has been the underdog 15 times and won three, or 20%, of those games.
  • The Wings are 9-10-0 ATS this year.
  • Dallas has played 12 games this season that have had more than 165 combined points scored.
  • Wings matchups this season have a 167.3-point average over/under, 2.3 more points than this game's point total.

Key Stats for Mercury vs. Wings

  • Phoenix puts up 83.9 points per game, only 1.2 fewer points than the 85.1 Dallas allows.
  • When the Mercury score more than 85.1 points, they are 7-1.
  • Phoenix has been better offensively at home, where it scores 84.6 points per game, compared to on the road, where it puts up 83 per game. Defensively, it is better when playing at home, where it gives up 79.1 points per game, versus playing on the road, where it lets its opponents to score 81.9 per game.
  • Dallas averages just 2.1 more points per game (82.4) than Phoenix allows (80.3).
  • The Wings have gone 3-7 when they've scored more than 80.3 points.
  • Dallas scores fewer points per game at home (79.3) than away (85.8), but also allows fewer at home (82.6) than on the road (87.8).

All Media on this page by Associated Press.

NFL PICKS

Dunkel NFL Prediction cards

Latest NFL Predictions

GET YOUR PICKS

DUNKEL PODCAST

About Us

The Dunkel Index podcast is a weekly look behind the numbers. Hosted by Ben and Bob Dunkel.

Read More

COLLEGE FOOTBALL PICKS

Dunkel NCAAB Prediction cards

Latest NCAAF Predictions

Get Your Picks