Mercury vs. Sun: Betting Trends, Odds, Records Against the Spread, Predictions - Aug. 7

The Connecticut Sun (7-23) aim to snap a five-game losing streak when hosting the Phoenix Mercury (12-20) at 7:30 p.m. ET on Friday, August 7, 2026 at Mohegan Sun Arena. The game airs on ION.

Phoenix fell short of victory by a final score of 96-82 versus Atlanta in their last game. The team was led by Kelsey Plum's 19 points and four assists and Alyssa Thomas' 17 points and seven assists.

Connecticut fell on the road to Dallas, 83-63, in its last game. Its top performers were Diamond Miller (22 PTS, 2 STL, 53.3 FG%, 4-8 from 3PT) and Kennedy Burke (14 PTS, 7 REB, 2 STL, 3 BLK, 45.5 FG%, 2-4 from 3PT).

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Mercury vs. Sun Betting Lines

Take a look below at the most recent betting lines for the Mercury-Sun matchup.

• Favorite: Mercury (-6.5)
• Total: 174.5
• Mercury Moneyline: -250
• Sun Moneyline: +198

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Mercury Betting Insights

• Based on this matchup's moneyline, the Mercury's implied win probability is 71.4%.
• Phoenix has won six of the 12 games when it was a moneyline favorite this season (50%).
• The Mercury have put together a 15-17-0 ATS record so far this year.
• Phoenix's games this season have gone over this contest's total of 174.5 points 12 times.
• The Mercury have had an average of 169.6 points in their games this season, 4.9 fewer than this matchup's total.

Sun Betting Insights

• The sportsbooks' moneyline implies a 33.6% chance of a victory for the Sun.
• Connecticut has entered the game as the underdog 27 times this season and won six, or 22.2%, of those games.
• The Sun have won 14 games against the spread this season, while failing to cover 16 times.
• Connecticut has combined with its opponent to score more than 174.5 points in 10 of 30 games this season.
• Sun outings this season have a 166.6-point average over/under, 7.9 fewer points than this game's point total.

Key Stats for Mercury vs. Sun

• Phoenix records 84.2 points per game, just 3.1 fewer points than the 87.3 Connecticut allows.
• The Mercury have an 8-6 record when putting up more than 87.3 points.
• Phoenix has scored at a higher rate in home games than away in the 2026 season (85.6 points per game at home versus 82.9 on the road), but has also given up more points in home games than in road games (88.3 per home game versus 86.9 on the road).
• Connecticut puts up 7.8 fewer points per game (79.8) than Phoenix give up to opponents (87.6).
• When they score more than 87.6 points, the Sun are 4-5.
• Connecticut averages more points per game at home (81.4) than away (78.5), and also gives up fewer points at home (85) than on the road (89.4).

All Media on this page by Associated Press.