Maple Leafs vs. Sharks NHL Predictions, Picks and Odds - Dec. 11

The Toronto Maple Leafs and San Jose Sharks are coming off a win and a defeat, respectively, heading into their meeting at Scotiabank Arena on Thursday at 7 p.m. ET. The oddsmakers have made the Maple Leafs solid favorites at -205 on the moneyline, and the Sharks are at +170.

Toronto secured a 2-0 victory at home its last time out on Dec. 8 against the Tampa Bay Lightning. Four Maple Leafs players recorded one point each, including Auston Matthews (one goal) and John Tavares (one assist).

San Jose played on the road in its last game on Dec. 9, and fell 4-1 against the Philadelphia Flyers. The Sharks got one point apiece out of three skaters in that outing, including Will Smith (one assist) and John Klingberg (one assist).

Here's our prediction for who will capture the victory in Thursday's matchup.

Maple Leafs vs. Sharks Predictions & Pick

For the upcoming game between the Toronto Maple Leafs and San Jose Sharks, computer-derived moneyline, over/under, and score predictions are below, sourced from Dunkel Index.

• Prediction: Sharks 3 - Maple Leafs 2
• Pick OU: Under 6.5 (Dunkel projecting 4.94 goals)
  

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Maple Leafs vs. Sharks Moneylines

Grab a look below at the latest moneylines for the Maple Leafs-Sharks game.

• Favorite: Maple Leafs (-205)
• Underdog: Sharks (+170)

Maple Leafs Betting Insights

• The Maple Leafs have been victorious in eight of their 17 games when they were listed as a moneyline favorite this season (47.1%).
• Toronto has had moneyline odds of -205 or shorter in only two games this season, and split them 1-1.
• The implied moneyline probability in this game says the Maple Leafs have a 67.2% chance to win.
• Toronto and its opponent have gone over 6.5 combined goals in 18 of 29 games this season.

Sharks Betting Insights

• This season the Sharks have won 14 of the 31 games, or 45.2%, in which they've been an underdog.
• San Jose has a record of 6-10 in games when bookmakers have them as underdogs of at least +170 on the moneyline.
• Bookmakers have implied, given the moneyline set for this matchup, that the Sharks have a 37.0% chance to win.
• San Jose has played 13 games this season that finished with over 6.5 goals.

Maple Leafs Key Stats

• Toronto has scored the seventh-most goals in the league (97 total, 3.3 per game).
• The Maple Leafs rank 16th in goals against, giving up 92 total goals (3.2 per game) in NHL play.
• Its goal differential (+5) makes the team 10th-best in the league.
• The 10 power-play goals the Maple Leafs have recorded this season (on 73 power-play chances) rank 32nd in the NHL.
• Toronto has the league's 32nd-ranked power-play conversion rate (13.7%).
• The Maple Leafs have scored two shorthanded goals this season.
• Toronto's 81.71% penalty-kill success rate ranks 13th in the league.
• Toronto wins 57% of its faceoffs to pace the NHL.
• The Maple Leafs shoot 12.5% as a team (second in the league).

Sharks Key Stats

• With 86 goals (2.8 per game), San Jose has the league's 22nd-ranked offense.
• The Sharks have allowed 102 total goals this season (3.3 per game), 24th in the NHL.
• Its -16 goal differential ranks 28th in the league.
• With 21 power-play goals (on 112 chances), the Sharks are ninth-best in the NHL.
• San Jose has the league's 17th-ranked power-play percentage (18.75%).
• This season, the Sharks have two shorthanded goals (13th in league).
• At 80.39%, San Jose has the 19th-ranked penalty-kill percentage in the league.
• San Jose wins 47.4% of faceoffs, 26th-ranked in the NHL.
• The Sharks' 11.7% shooting percentage is fifth in the league.