Maple Leafs vs. Red Wings NHL Predictions, Picks and Odds - Oct. 11

The Toronto Maple Leafs and Detroit Red Wings -- the former coming off a victory, the latter a defeat -- will meet on Saturday at 7 p.m. ET, at Little Caesars Arena in Detroit. Maple Leafs (-148) at Red Wings (+124) has a definite favorite, according to the moneyline odds.

To prepare for this matchup, here is who we expect to take home the victory in Saturday's hockey action.

Maple Leafs vs. Red Wings Predictions & Pick

For predictions on the upcoming game between the Toronto Maple Leafs and Detroit Red Wings, computer-calculated moneyline, over/under, and score predictions are below, sourced from Dunkel Index.

• Prediction: Maple Leafs 3 - Red Wings 2
• Pick OU: Under 6.5 (Dunkel projecting 5.05 goals)
  

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Maple Leafs vs. Red Wings Moneylines

Grab a look below at the latest moneylines for the Maple Leafs-Red Wings matchup.

• Favorite: Maple Leafs (-148)
• Underdog: Red Wings (+124)

Maple Leafs Betting Insights

• The Maple Leafs won 65.0% of their games last season when favored on the moneyline (39-21).
• When it played as a moneyline favorite at -148 or shorter, Toronto went 25-15.
• The Maple Leafs have an implied moneyline win probability of 59.7% in this matchup.
• In 44 of 95 games last season, Toronto and its opponent combined for more than 6.5 goals.

Red Wings Betting Insights

• Last season the Red Wings were an underdog 61 times, and won 27, or 44.3%, of those games.
• Detroit had a record of 14-25, a 35.9% win rate, when set as an underdog by +124 or more last season.
• The Red Wings have a 44.6% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
• Detroit combined with its opponent to score over 6.5 goals in 36 of 82 games last season.

Maple Leafs Key Stats

• Toronto's 267 total goals (3.3 per game) made it the seventh-highest scoring team in the NHL last season.
• Defensively, the Maple Leafs were one of the stingiest units in NHL play, giving up 229 total goals (2.8 per game) to rank eighth.
• Its goal differential (+38) made it eighth-best in the league.
• The 54 power-play goals the Maple Leafs put up last season (on 218 power-play chances) ranked 11th in the NHL.
• Toronto had the league's ninth-best power-play conversion rate (24.77%).
• The Maple Leafs scored six shorthanded goals last season.
• Toronto had the league's 17th-ranked penalty-kill percentage (77.87%).
• Toronto won the second-highest percentage of faceoffs in the NHL, 53.6%.
• The Maple Leafs scored on 11.6% of their shots (fifth in the league).

Red Wings Key Stats

• Detroit's 235 goals last season (2.9 per game) ranked 22nd in the league.
• The Red Wings' total of 259 goals allowed (3.2 per game) was 21st in the league.
• It had the 24th-ranked goal differential in the league at -24.
• The Red Wings had 65 power-play goals (on 237 chances). That was No.1 in the NHL.
• Detroit's power-play percentage (27.43) ranked the team fourth in the league.
• The Red Wings had two shorthanded goals (31st in NHL).
• Detroit had the 32nd-ranked penalty kill percentage (70.27%).
• Detroit won 49% of faceoffs, 22nd in the NHL.
• The Red Wings' 10.5% shooting percentage was 17th in the league.