Maple Leafs vs. Jets NHL Predictions, Picks and Odds - Jan. 1
01 January 2026

The Toronto Maple Leafs (18-15-6) host the Winnipeg Jets (15-19-4) on Thursday, Jan. 1, with the Maple Leafs coming off a victory in their last game and the Jets a loss. The bookmakers have made the Maple Leafs solid favorites at -142 on the moneyline, and the Jets are at +120.
Toronto claimed a 4-0 victory at home its last time out on Dec. 30 against the New Jersey Devils. Nicholas Robertson (two assists) and Bobby McMann (one goal and one assist) were among the three Maple Leafs players who collected two points each.
Winnipeg played on the road its last time out on Dec. 31, and lost 2-1 against the Detroit Red Wings. The Jets got one point each out of Jonathan Toews (one assist) and Logan Stanley (one goal).
Before this matchup, here's who we expect to secure the win in Thursday's hockey game.
Bet now on FanDuel Sportsbook!Maple Leafs vs. Jets Predictions & Pick
For insights on the upcoming game between the Toronto Maple Leafs and Winnipeg Jets, computer-derived moneyline, over/under, and score predictions are below, sourced from Dunkel Index.
- Prediction: Maple Leafs 3 - Jets 1
- Pick OU:
Under 6.5
(Dunkel projecting 4.02 goals)
Pick with the best in the business! Get free picks for every game, every week at the Dunkel Index.
Maple Leafs vs. Jets Moneylines
Take a look below at the most up-to-date moneylines for the Maple Leafs-Jets game.
- Favorite: Maple Leafs (-142)
- Underdog: Jets (+120)
Maple Leafs Betting Insights
- The Maple Leafs have won 50.0% of their games when they've been a moneyline favorite this season (10-10).
- When it has played with moneyline odds of -142 or shorter, Toronto is 7-6 (winning 53.8% of the time).
- Based on the moneyline in this contest, the Maple Leafs' implied win probability is 58.7%.
- Toronto's games this season have gone over this matchup's total of 6.5 goals 22 times.
Jets Betting Insights
- The Jets have won one, or 7.7%, of the 13 games they have played while the underdog this season.
- This season Winnipeg has been at least a +120 underdog on the moneyline seven times, losing each of those contests.
- The Jets have a 45.5% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
- Winnipeg and its opponent have combined to score over 6.5 goals in 19 of 38 games this season.
Maple Leafs Key Stats
- Toronto has scored the seventh-most goals in the NHL (128 total, 3.3 per game).
- The Maple Leafs have allowed 128 total goals (3.3 per game), ranking 23rd in NHL play in goals against.
- Its goal differential (0) ranks 16th in the league.
- The 16 power-play goals the Maple Leafs have put up this season (on 100 power-play chances) rank 32nd in the NHL.
- Toronto is 25th in the league with a 16% power-play conversion rate.
- The Maple Leafs have scored two shorthanded goals this season (18th among NHL squads).
- Toronto has the league's fourth-best penalty-kill percentage (84.16%).
- Toronto wins 56.4% of its faceoffs to lead the NHL.
- The Maple Leafs make 12.1% of their shots (fourth in the league).
Jets Key Stats
- Winnipeg's 107 goals on the season (2.8 per game) rank 25th in the NHL.
- The Jets have given up 115 total goals this season (3.0 per game), 12th in the league.
- it has the 21st-ranked goal differential in the league at -8.
- The Jets have 21 power-play goals (18th in NHL) on 109 chances.
- Winnipeg has the NHL's 16th-ranked power-play percentage (19.27%).
- The Jets have four shorthanded goals (seventh in league).
- The 79.67% penalty-kill percentage of Winnipeg is 19th in the NHL.
- At 51.4%, Winnipeg has the league's 10th-best faceoff win percentage.
- The Jets' 10.5% shooting percentage is 19th in the league.
