Maple Leafs vs. Canadiens NHL Predictions, Picks and Odds - Dec. 6

The Toronto Maple Leafs (13-11-3) host the Montreal Canadiens (14-9-3) on Saturday, Dec. 6, with both teams coming off a victory. The Canadiens are underdogs away from home, at +120, and the Maple Leafs are -142.

Toronto claimed a 5-1 road victory against the Carolina Hurricanes its last time out on Dec. 4. The Maple Leafs got two points apiece out of four skaters, including Matthew Knies (one goal and one assist) and Max Domi (two assists).

Montreal got a 3-2 home victory over the Winnipeg Jets on Dec. 3 in its last game, winning the shootout 1-0. Six Canadiens skaters recorded one point each in that matchup, including Nicholas Suzuki (one assist) and Cole Caufield (one assist).

Here is our prediction for who will capture the victory in Saturday's matchup.

Maple Leafs vs. Canadiens Predictions & Pick

For insights on the upcoming game between the Toronto Maple Leafs and Montreal Canadiens, computer-derived moneyline, over/under, and score predictions are below, sourced from Dunkel Index.

• Prediction: Canadiens 3 - Maple Leafs 2
• Pick OU: Under 6.5 (Dunkel projecting 5.00 goals)
  

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Maple Leafs vs. Canadiens Moneylines

Snag a peek below at the most recent moneylines for the Maple Leafs-Canadiens matchup.

• Favorite: Maple Leafs (-142)
• Underdog: Canadiens (+120)

Maple Leafs Betting Insights

• The Maple Leafs have been victorious in eight of their 16 games when they were favored on the moneyline this season (50.0%).
• When playing with moneyline odds of -142 or shorter, Toronto is 6-4 (winning 60.0% of the time).
• Based on this matchup's moneyline, the Maple Leafs have an implied probability of 58.7% to win.
• In 18 of 27 matches this season, Toronto and its opponent have combined for more than 6.5 goals.

Canadiens Betting Insights

• The Canadiens have been an underdog in 13 games this season, and won six (46.2%).
• Montreal is 2-4 this season when entering a game as an underdog by +120 or more on the moneyline.
• The Canadiens have a 45.5% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
• Montreal has played 17 games this season that finished with over 6.5 goals.

Maple Leafs Key Stats

• Toronto's 94 total goals (3.5 per game) rank fifth in the NHL.
• The Maple Leafs have given up 91 total goals (3.4 per game), ranking 22nd in NHL play in goals against.
• Its goal differential (+3) ranks 12th in the league.
• The 10 power-play goals the Maple Leafs have put up this season rank 31st in the NHL (on 68 power-play chances).
• Toronto is 28th in the league with a 14.71% power-play conversion rate.
• The Maple Leafs have scored one shorthanded goal this season.
• Toronto kills 81.82% of opponent power plays, the 14th-ranked penalty-kill percentage in the league.
• Toronto has the second-best faceoff win percentage in the NHL, at 57%.
• The Maple Leafs have a 12.8% shooting percentage as a team, which ranks third in the league.

Canadiens Key Stats

• With 86 goals (3.3 per game), Montreal has the NHL's 10th-best offense.
• The Canadiens give up 3.5 goals per game (92 in total), 23rd in the NHL.
• With a goal differential of -6, the team is 20th in the league.
• The Canadiens have 19 power-play goals (on 72 chances), ninth in the NHL.
• Montreal has the NHL's fourth-best power-play percentage (26.39%).
• The Canadiens have two shorthanded goals (13th in NHL).
• At 77.38%, Montreal has the 25th-ranked penalty-kill percentage in the league.
• Montreal is 14th in faceoff win percentage in the NHL (50.4%).
• The 13.3% shooting percentage of the Canadiens tops the league.