Louisville vs. Virginia Dunkel Predictions & Vegas Odds - January 4

The Louisville Cardinals (9-5, 2-1 ACC) visit the Virginia Cavaliers (8-5, 1-1 ACC) at John Paul Jones Arena, tipping off at 4:00 PM ET on Saturday, January 4, 2025. The Cavaliers are 3.5-point underdogs in the game. The matchup has an over/under of 129.5.

Louisville is coming off of an 83-70 win against North Carolina in its most recent outing on Wednesday. Chucky Hepburn put up 26 points, two rebounds and seven assists for Louisville. In its last matchup on Tuesday, Virginia earned a 70-67 victory against NC State. In Virginia's win, Elijah Saunders led the way with 22 points (adding five rebounds and two assists).

Louisville vs. Virginia Odds and Game Time

• When: Saturday, January 4, 2025 at 4:00 PM ET
• Where: John Paul Jones Arena in Charlottesville, Virginia
• Spread favorite: Louisville -3.5
• Moneyline favorite: Louisville -180
• Moneyline underdog: Virginia +149
• Over/Under: 129.5 points

How to watch Louisville vs. Virginia

• TV Channel: ACCN
• Live Stream: Fubo
• Check out the rest of our Dunkel Index NCAA Basketball Picks!

Betting the Over/Under: Louisville vs. Virginia

• All of Louisville's games this season have hit the over on Saturday's total of 129.5 points.
• Five of Virginia's games have ended with a combined score over 129.5 points this season.
• The point total for the contest of 129.5 is 11.1 points fewer than the combined points per game averages for the Cardinals (78.4) and Cavaliers (62.2).
• These two teams give up a combined 132.4 points per game, 2.9 more than this contest's over/under.
• On average, Louisville has had a 149.9-point over/under in its games this season, 20.4 more points than the over/under in this contest.
• The over/under for this contest is 6.4 points higher than the average over/under in Virginia's games this season of 123.1.

Betting the Spread: Louisville vs. Virginia

• Louisville is 7-7-0 against the spread this season.
• The Cardinals have been favored by 3.5 points or more seven times this season and are 3-4 ATS in those games.
• Virginia is 5-8-0 against the spread this season.
• This season, the Cavaliers have just two ATS wins in six games as an underdog of 3.5 points or more.
• Virginia is 4-4 against the spread, and 7-1 overall, at home this season.
• At home, Virginia has two wins ATS (2-4) as a 3.5-point underdog or greater.

Betting the Moneyline: Louisville vs. Virginia

• Louisville has been the moneyline favorite in 10 games this season and won seven (70%) of those contests.
• The Cardinals are undefeated in five games this season when favored by -180 or more on the moneyline.
• Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that Louisville has a 64.3% chance to win.
• Virginia has been chosen as moneyline underdogs in seven games this year and has walked away with the win two times (28.6%) in those games.
• The Cavaliers have won all of their four games in which they were named as at least a +149 moneyline underdog.
• Virginia has an implied victory probability of 40.2% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.