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Lightning vs. Sharks NHL Predictions, Picks and Odds - Jan. 3

03 January 2026 By Data Skrive

The Tampa Bay Lightning and San Jose Sharks -- both coming off wins in their last game -- will meet on Saturday at 4 p.m. ET, at SAP Center at San Jose in San Jose. The oddsmakers have made the Lightning big favorites at -218 on the moneyline, despite being the visitors, and the Sharks are at +180.

Tampa Bay claimed a 5-3 road victory over the Los Angeles Kings in its last game on Jan. 1. Nikita Kucherov had three points (one goal and two assists) for the Lightning.

San Jose's last game was a shootout victory at home on Dec. 31 against the Minnesota Wild 4-3 (2-0). The Sharks were led in that outing by Macklin Celebrini (one goal and one assist) and Igor Chernyshov (one goal and one assist).

Prepare for this matchup by checking out our pick for who will win the game in Saturday's hockey action.

Bet now on FanDuel Sportsbook!

Lightning vs. Sharks Predictions & Pick

For predictions on the upcoming game between the Tampa Bay Lightning and San Jose Sharks, computer-derived moneyline, over/under, and score predictions are below, per Dunkel Index.

  • Prediction: Lightning 3 - Sharks 1
  • Pick OU: Under 6.5 (Dunkel projecting 4.09 goals)

Pick with the best in the business! Get free picks for every game, every week at the Dunkel Index.

Lightning vs. Sharks Moneylines

Grab a peek below at the most up-to-date moneylines for the Lightning-Sharks matchup.

  • Favorite: Lightning (-218)
  • Underdog: Sharks (+180)

Lightning Betting Insights

  • In the 31 times this season the Lightning have been a moneyline favorite, they have finished 18-13 in those games.
  • Tampa Bay has been a moneyline favorite of -218 or shorter twice this season, and split them 1-1.
  • The Lightning's implied moneyline win probability is 68.6% in this contest.
  • Tampa Bay's 40 matches this season have finished above this game's total of 6.5 goals 18 times.

Sharks Betting Insights

  • The Sharks have been made an underdog 39 times this season, and won 20, or 51.3%, of those games.
  • San Jose has a record of 4-9 in games when oddsmakers have them as underdogs of at least +180 on the moneyline.
  • The moneyline set in this outing implies a 35.7% chance of victory for the Sharks.
  • San Jose's games this season have had more than 6.5 goals 20 of 40 times.

Lightning Key Stats

  • Tampa Bay's 134 total goals (3.4 per game) make it the sixth-highest scoring team in the league.
  • Defensively, the Lightning are one of the stingiest units in league play, allowing 106 total goals (2.6 per game) to rank third.
  • It has the league's third-best goal differential at +28.
  • The 22 power-play goals the Lightning have put up this season rank 17th in the NHL (on 128 power-play chances).
  • Tampa Bay's 17.19% power-play conversion rate ranks 23rd in the league.
  • The three shorthanded goals the Lightning have scored this season rank 11th among NHL squads.
  • Tampa Bay's 83.7% penalty-kill success rate is the third-best in the league.
  • Tampa Bay wins 46.4% of its faceoffs (31st in NHL).
  • The Lightning shoot 12.3% as a team (third in the league).

Sharks Key Stats

  • San Jose has 122 goals this season (3.0 per game), 17th in the NHL.
  • The Sharks allow 3.4 goals per game (138 in total), 29th in the NHL.
  • it has the 27th-ranked goal differential in the league at -16.
  • With 25 power-play goals (on 135 chances), the Sharks are 12th in the NHL.
  • San Jose scores on 18.52% of its power plays, No. 20 in the league.
  • This season, the Sharks have two shorthanded goals (19th in NHL).
  • At 78.57%, San Jose has the 21st-ranked penalty-kill percentage in the league.
  • At 47.4%, San Jose has the league's 25th-ranked faceoff win percentage.
  • With a shooting percentage of 12.2%, the Sharks are fifth in the league.

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