Lightning vs. Panthers NHL Predictions, Picks and Odds - Dec. 15
15 December 2025

The Tampa Bay Lightning and Florida Panthers -- the former coming off a loss, the latter a victory -- will play on Monday at 7 p.m. ET, at Benchmark International Arena in Tampa. The Panthers are underdogs away from home, at +105, and the Lightning are -125.
Tampa Bay dropped a shootout on the road its last time out on Dec. 13 against the New York Islanders 3-2, losing the shootout 2-1 to finish off the defeat. Nikita Kucherov led the Lightning with two points (two assists).
In its most recent game on Dec. 13, Florida secured a 4-0 road victory over the Dallas Stars. Brad Marchand had three points (two goals and one assist) in that outing for the Panthers.
Prepare for this matchup by checking out our pick for who will come out on top in Monday's hockey action.
Bet now on FanDuel Sportsbook!Lightning vs. Panthers Predictions & Pick
For insights on the upcoming game between the Tampa Bay Lightning and Florida Panthers, computer-derived moneyline, over/under, and score predictions are below, sourced from Dunkel Index.
- Prediction: Panthers 4 - Lightning 3
- Pick OU:
Over 5.5
(Dunkel projecting 6.94 goals)
Pick with the best in the business! Get free picks for every game, every week at the Dunkel Index.
Lightning vs. Panthers Moneylines
Take a look below at the most up-to-date moneylines for the Lightning-Panthers game.
- Favorite: Lightning (-125)
- Underdog: Panthers (+105)
Lightning Betting Insights
- The Lightning have been victorious in 13 of their 24 games when they were favored on the moneyline this season (54.2%).
- Tampa Bay is 12-10 (victorious in 54.5% of its games) when it has played with moneyline odds of -125 or shorter.
- The Lightning have a 55.6% chance (based on the moneyline's implied probability) to win this game.
- Tampa Bay and its opponent have gone over 5.5 combined goals in 16 of 32 games this season.
Panthers Betting Insights
- This season the Panthers have won four of the six games in which they've been an underdog.
- Florida is 2-2 this season when entering a game as the underdog by +105 or more on the moneyline.
- The moneyline set in this outing implies a 48.8% chance of victory for the Panthers.
- Florida has combined with its opponent to score more than 5.5 goals in 16 of 31 games this season.
Lightning Key Stats
- Tampa Bay's 104 total goals (3.2 per game) make it the eighth-highest scoring team in the league.
- Defensively, the Lightning are one of the stingiest units in league play, conceding 82 total goals (2.6 per game) to rank fourth.
- Its goal differential (+22) makes the team third-best in the league.
- The 17 power-play goals the Lightning have recorded this season (on 99 power-play chances) rank 19th in the NHL.
- Tampa Bay is 23rd in the league with a 17.17% power-play conversion rate.
- The Lightning have scored two shorthanded goals this season (13th among NHL teams).
- Tampa Bay has the league's second-best penalty-kill percentage (85.44%).
- Tampa Bay wins 45.9% of its faceoffs (31st in NHL).
- The Lightning make 11.7% of their shots (sixth in the league).
Panthers Key Stats
- Florida has 97 goals this season (3.1 per game), 14th in the league.
- The Panthers have conceded 98 total goals this season (3.2 per game), 17th in the league.
- it has the 17th-ranked goal differential in the league at -1.
- With 20 power-play goals (on 107 chances), the Panthers are 12th in the NHL.
- Florida has the NHL's 18th-ranked power-play percentage (18.69%).
- This season, the Panthers have four shorthanded goals (fifth in league).
- At 82.18%, Florida has the 12th-ranked penalty-kill percentage in the league.
- At 47.1%, Florida has the league's 26th-ranked faceoff win percentage.
- The 10.7% shooting percentage of the Panthers is 17th in the league.
