Lightning vs. Maple Leafs NHL Predictions, Picks and Odds - Dec. 8

The Tampa Bay Lightning (16-10-2) visit the Toronto Maple Leafs (13-11-4) on Monday, Dec. 8, with both teams coming off a loss in their last game. The Maple Leafs are underdogs despite being the hosts, at +110, and the Lightning are -130.

Tampa Bay fell 2-0 at home in its last game on Dec. 6 against the New York Islanders. Brandon Halverson had zero saves for the Lightning while allowing zero Islanders goals.

Toronto lost at home 2-1 to the Montreal Canadiens on Dec. 6 in its most recent game, falling 2-1 in a shootout. The Maple Leafs were led in that outing by Nicolas Roy (one assist) and Scott Laughton (one goal).

Here is our pick for who will secure the victory in Monday's game.

Lightning vs. Maple Leafs Predictions & Pick

For the upcoming game between the Tampa Bay Lightning and Toronto Maple Leafs, computer-derived moneyline, over/under, and score predictions are below, sourced from Dunkel Index.

• Prediction: Lightning 2 - Maple Leafs 1
• Pick OU: Under 6.5 (Dunkel projecting 3.05 goals)
  

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Lightning vs. Maple Leafs Moneylines

Grab a look below at the latest moneylines for the Lightning-Maple Leafs game.

• Favorite: Lightning (-130)
• Underdog: Maple Leafs (+110)

Lightning Betting Insights

• The Lightning have won 55.0% of their games when they've been a moneyline favorite this season (11-9).
• Tampa Bay is 10-8 (winning 55.6% of its games) when it has played with moneyline odds of -130 or shorter.
• Based on the moneyline in this game, the Lightning's implied win probability is 56.5%.
• Tampa Bay's 28 matches this season have finished above this game's total of 6.5 goals 11 times.

Maple Leafs Betting Insights

• This season the Maple Leafs have been an underdog nine times, and won three of those games.
• Toronto has a record of 2-4 in games when oddsmakers have them as underdogs of at least +110 on the moneyline.
• The moneyline set in this contest implies a 47.6% chance of victory for the Maple Leafs.
• Toronto has combined with its opponent to score over 6.5 goals in 18 of 28 games this season.

Lightning Key Stats

• Tampa Bay ranks 12th in the league with 88 goals scored (3.1 per game).
• The Lightning have conceded 73 total goals (2.6 per game), ranking fourth in league play for the fewest goals against.
• It has the league's fourth-best goal differential at +15.
• The 13 power-play goals the Lightning have put up this season (on 88 power-play chances) rank 24th in the NHL.
• Tampa Bay's 14.77% power-play conversion rate ranks 27th in the league.
• The Lightning have scored two shorthanded goals this season.
• Tampa Bay kills 86.67% of opponent power plays, the third-best penalty-kill percentage in the league.
• Tampa Bay has the 30th-ranked faceoff win rate in the NHL, at 46%.
• The Lightning shoot 11.5% as a team (11th in the league).

Maple Leafs Key Stats

• Toronto is sixth in the league in scoring (95 goals, 3.4 per game).
• The Maple Leafs concede 3.3 goals per game (92 in total), 20th in the league.
• With a goal differential of +3, the team is 12th in the league.
• With 10 power-play goals (on 71 chances), the Maple Leafs are 32nd in the NHL.
• Toronto's power-play percentage (14.08) puts the team 30th in the league.
• This season, the Maple Leafs have two shorthanded goals (13th in league).
• The 81.48% penalty-kill percentage of Toronto is 13th in the NHL.
• Toronto is the league leader in faceoff win percentage (57%).
• The 12.6% shooting percentage of the Maple Leafs is third in the league.