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Lightning vs. Jets NHL Predictions, Picks and Odds - Oct. 29

29 October 2026 By Data Skrive

The Tampa Bay Lightning and Winnipeg Jets -- both coming off defeats in their last game -- will play on Thursday at 7 p.m. ET, at Benchmark International Arena in Tampa. Lightning (-238) versus Jets (+195) looks lopsided, according to the moneyline odds.

Tampa Bay's last game was a 5-4 overtime road loss to the Utah Mammoth on Oct. 24. The Lightning got one point apiece out of nine skaters, including Jake Guentzel (one goal) and Scott Sabourin (one assist).

Winnipeg's last game was a home loss, 5-1, against the Florida Panthers on Oct. 27. Adam Lowry led the Jets with one point (one goal) in that outing.

Here is our prediction for who will secure the victory in Thursday's game.

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Lightning vs. Jets Predictions & Pick

Ahead of the upcoming game between the Tampa Bay Lightning and Winnipeg Jets, computer-derived moneyline, over/under, and score predictions are below, per Dunkel Index.

  • Prediction: Jets 4 - Lightning 3
  • Pick OU: Over 6.5 (Dunkel projecting 7 goals)

Pick with the best in the business! Get free picks for every game, every week at the Dunkel Index.

Lightning vs. Jets Moneylines

Take a peek below at the most recent moneylines for the Lightning-Jets matchup.

  • Favorite: Lightning (-238)
  • Underdog: Jets (+195)

Lightning Betting Insights

  • The Lightning are 6-2 when listed as a moneyline favorite this season.
  • Tampa Bay has been a moneyline favorite of -238 or shorter twice this season, and won both.
  • Based on this game's moneyline, the Lightning have an implied probability of 70.4% to win.
  • Tampa Bay and its opponent have combined to score more than 6.5 goals in five of 11 games this season.

Jets Betting Insights

  • This season the Jets have been an underdog seven times, and won two of those games.
  • Winnipeg has not entered a game so far this season as a bigger moneyline underdog than the +195 odds on them winning this game.
  • The implied probability of a win by the Jets, based on the moneyline, is 33.9%.
  • Winnipeg has combined with its opponent to score over 6.5 goals in three of 12 games this season.

Lightning Key Stats

  • Tampa Bay's 38 total goals (3.4 per game) make it the 16th-ranked scoring team in the league.
  • Defensively, the Lightning have been one of the stingiest units in NHL action, giving up 34 total goals (3.1 per game) to rank seventh.
  • It has the league's 11th-ranked goal differential at +4.
  • The six power-play goals the Lightning have recorded this season rank 23rd in the NHL (on 40 power-play chances).
  • Tampa Bay's 15.00% power-play conversion rate ranks 27th in the league.
  • Tampa Bay has the league's 21st-ranked penalty-kill percentage (76.67%).
  • Tampa Bay has the 23rd-ranked faceoff win percentage in the NHL, at 48.5%.
  • The Lightning shoot 11.4% as a team (13th in the league).

Jets Key Stats

  • Winnipeg has 28 goals this season (2.3 per game), 28th in the NHL.
  • The Jets have one of the top defenses in the league, allowing 36 total goals (3.0 per game), 10th in the NHL.
  • Its -8 goal differential ranks 25th in the league.
  • The Jets have six power-play goals (on 33 chances), 23rd in the NHL.
  • Winnipeg has the NHL's 22nd-ranked power-play percentage (18.18%).
  • This season, the Jets have one shorthanded goal (12th in league).
  • Winnipeg's has the 22nd-ranked penalty-kill percentage (74.19%).
  • Winnipeg wins 45.2% of faceoffs, 31st-ranked in the NHL.
  • The 8.6% shooting percentage of the Jets is 30th in the league.

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