Lightning vs. Islanders NHL Predictions, Picks and Odds - Dec. 6

The Tampa Bay Lightning and New York Islanders -- the former coming off a loss, the latter a win -- will play on Saturday at 7 p.m. ET, at Benchmark International Arena in Tampa. The Islanders are underdogs on the road, at +124, and the Lightning are -148.

Tampa Bay's most recent game was a 4-3 home loss to the Pittsburgh Penguins on Dec. 4. Nikita Kucherov (one goal and one assist) and Brandon Hagel (two goals) were among the three Lightning skaters who collected two points each.

New York won at home in its most recent game on Dec. 4, 6-3 over the Colorado Avalanche. Mathew Barzal had three points (one goal and two assists) in that matchup for the Islanders.

Get ready for this matchup with a look at who we project to emerge with the victory in Saturday's contest.

Lightning vs. Islanders Predictions & Pick

Ahead of the upcoming game between the Tampa Bay Lightning and New York Islanders, computer-derived moneyline, over/under, and score predictions are below, per Dunkel Index.

• Prediction: Islanders 3 - Lightning 2
• Pick OU: Under 6.5 (Dunkel projecting 5.05 goals)
  

Pick with the best in the business! Get free picks for every game, every week at the Dunkel Index.

Lightning vs. Islanders Moneylines

Grab a look below at the most recent moneylines for the Lightning-Islanders game.

• Favorite: Lightning (-148)
• Underdog: Islanders (+124)

Lightning Betting Insights

• In the 19 times this season the Lightning have been favored on the moneyline, they have gone 11-8 in those games.
• Tampa Bay is 9-6 (victorious in 60.0% of its games) when it has played with moneyline odds of -148 or shorter.
• The Lightning have a 59.7% chance (based on the moneyline's implied probability) to win this contest.
• In 11 of 27 matches this season, Tampa Bay and its opponent have combined for more than 6.5 goals.

Islanders Betting Insights

• This season the Islanders have been an underdog 17 times, and won 11, or 64.7%, of those games.
• New York is 8-2 this season when entering a game as an underdog by +124 or more on the moneyline.
• The moneyline for this matchup implies a 44.6% chance of victory for the Islanders.
• New York has played 13 games this season that finished with more than 6.5 goals.

Lightning Key Stats

• Tampa Bay's 88 total goals (3.3 per game) rank ninth in the NHL.
• The Lightning have allowed 71 total goals (2.6 per game), ranking third in league play for the fewest goals against.
• It has the league's fourth-best goal differential at +17.
• The 13 power-play goals the Lightning have scored this season (to rank 22nd in the NHL) have come on 86 power-play chances.
• Tampa Bay ranks 25th in the league with a 15.12% power-play conversion rate.
• The Lightning have scored two shorthanded goals this season.
• Tampa Bay has a league-leading 87.36% penalty-kill percentage.
• Tampa Bay has the 30th-ranked faceoff win rate in the NHL, at 45.6%.
• The Lightning have a 12.1% shooting percentage as a team, which ranks fifth in the league.

Islanders Key Stats

• New York's 83 goals on the season (3.0 per game) rank 14th in the league.
• The Islanders give up 2.8 goals per game (78 in total), 13th in the NHL.
• With a goal differential of +5, the team is ninth-best in the league in that category.
• The Islanders have 13 power-play goals (on 94 chances), 22nd in the NHL.
• New York has the league's 29th-ranked power-play percentage (13.83%).
• The Islanders lead the NHL in shorthanded goals with five.
• New York's has the eighth-best penalty-kill percentage (82.93%).
• New York is 10th in faceoff win percentage in the NHL (52%).
• With a shooting percentage of 10%, the Islanders are 23rd in the league.