Lightning vs. Islanders NHL Predictions, Picks and Odds - Dec. 13

The Tampa Bay Lightning (18-11-2) will visit the New York Islanders (18-11-3) on Saturday at 3:30 p.m. ET, in a game featuring two of the best clubs in the Eastern Conference. The Islanders are underdogs despite being at home, at +105, and the Lightning are -125.

Tampa Bay grabbed an 8-4 victory on the road its last time out on Dec. 11 against the New Jersey Devils. Nikita Kucherov had four points (four assists) for the Lightning.

New York won at home in its last game on Dec. 11, 5-2 over the Anaheim Ducks. Anders Lee led the Islanders with four points (two goals and two assists) in that outing.

Prepare for this matchup with a glimpse at who we predict will emerge with the victory in Saturday's contest.

Lightning vs. Islanders Predictions & Pick

Ahead of the upcoming contest between the Tampa Bay Lightning and New York Islanders, computer-derived moneyline, over/under, and score predictions are below, based on data from Dunkel Index.

• Prediction: Lightning 4 - Islanders 3
• Pick OU: Over 5.5 (Dunkel projecting 7.00 goals)
  

Pick with the best in the business! Get free picks for every game, every week at the Dunkel Index.

Lightning vs. Islanders Moneylines

Take a peek below at the most recent moneylines for the Lightning-Islanders matchup.

• Favorite: Lightning (-125)
• Underdog: Islanders (+105)

Lightning Betting Insights

• The Lightning have won 56.5% of their games when favored on the moneyline this season (13-10).
• In games it has played with moneyline odds of -125 or shorter, Tampa Bay is 12-9 (winning 57.1% of the time).
• The implied moneyline probability for this game says the Lightning have a 55.6% chance to win.
• In 16 of 31 matches this season, Tampa Bay and its opponent have combined to finish above 5.5 goals.

Islanders Betting Insights

• This season the Islanders have won 13 of the 20 games, or 65.0%, in which they've been an underdog.
• New York is 12-5 this season when entering a game as an underdog by +105 or more on the moneyline.
• Sportsbooks have implied, given the moneyline set for this matchup, that the Islanders have a 48.8% chance to win.
• New York has played 17 games this season that ended with over 5.5 goals.

Lightning Key Stats

• Tampa Bay's 102 total goals (3.3 per game) make it the seventh-highest scoring team in the NHL.
• The Lightning have allowed 80 total goals (2.6 per game), the fourth-fewest in league play.
• Its goal differential (+22) makes the team fourth-best in the league.
• The 16 power-play goals the Lightning have scored this season (to rank 20th in the NHL) have come on 95 power-play chances.
• Tampa Bay ranks 23rd in the league with a 16.84% power-play conversion rate.
• The two shorthanded goals the Lightning have scored this season rank 13th among NHL squads.
• Tampa Bay kills 85.86% of opponent power plays, the second-best penalty-kill percentage in the league.
• Tampa Bay wins 45.7% of its faceoffs (31st in NHL).
• The Lightning connect on 12% of their shots (fifth in the league).

Islanders Key Stats

• New York has 95 goals this season (3.0 per game), 12th in the league.
• The Islanders' total of 88 goals conceded (2.8 per game) is 13th in the NHL.
• Its +7 goal differential is the seventh-best in the league.
• With 17 power-play goals (on 104 chances), the Islanders are 18th in the NHL.
• New York's power-play percentage (16.35) puts the team 25th in the league.
• The Islanders have five shorthanded goals (second in NHL).
• At 84.44%, New York has the fifth-best penalty-kill percentage in the league.
• New York is ninth in faceoff win rate in the NHL (51.7%).
• The 10.1% shooting percentage of the Islanders is 21st in the league.