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Lightning vs. Flyers NHL Predictions, Picks and Odds - Nov. 24

24 November 2025 By Data Skrive

Both the Tampa Bay Lightning and Philadelphia Flyers are coming off a win, heading into their matchup at Benchmark International Arena on Monday at 7 p.m. ET. The Flyers are underdogs on the road, at +145, and the Lightning are -175.

Tampa Bay won 5-3 on the road its last time out on Nov. 22 against the Washington Capitals. Brandon Hagel's four points (two goals and two assists) led the Lightning.

Philadelphia won its most recent game 6-3 at home over the New Jersey Devils on Nov. 22. Noah Cates led the Flyers with three points (one goal and two assists) in that matchup.

Ahead of watching this matchup, here is our prediction for which club will secure the win in Monday's hockey action.

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Lightning vs. Flyers Predictions & Pick

For the upcoming game between the Tampa Bay Lightning and Philadelphia Flyers, computer-calculated moneyline, over/under, and score predictions are below, sourced from Dunkel Index.

  • Prediction: Lightning 5 - Flyers 2
  • Pick OU: Over 5.5 (Dunkel projecting 6.91 goals)

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Lightning vs. Flyers Moneylines

Grab a peek below at the most up-to-date moneylines for the Lightning-Flyers game.

  • Favorite: Lightning (-175)
  • Underdog: Flyers (+145)

Lightning Betting Insights

  • The Lightning are 8-6 when favored on the moneyline this season.
  • When playing with moneyline odds of -175 or shorter, Tampa Bay is 2-2 (winning 50.0% of the time).
  • The implied moneyline probability in this game says the Lightning have a 63.6% chance to win.
  • Tampa Bay's 21 matches this season have finished above this game's total of 5.5 goals 11 times.

Flyers Betting Insights

  • This season the Flyers have been an underdog 13 times, and won five, or 38.5%, of those games.
  • Philadelphia has not won as an underdog of +145 or more on the moneyline this season in three such games.
  • The implied probability of a win by the Flyers, based on the moneyline, is 40.8%.
  • Philadelphia has combined with its opponent to score more than 5.5 goals in 10 of 20 games this season.

Lightning Key Stats

  • Tampa Bay ranks 17th in the NHL with 66 goals scored (3.1 per game).
  • Defensively, the Lightning are one of the stingiest squads in league action, allowing 60 total goals (2.9 per game) to rank eighth.
  • It has the league's 10th-best goal differential at +6.
  • The 11 power-play goals the Lightning have scored this season rank 21st in the NHL (on 68 power-play chances).
  • Tampa Bay is 23rd in the league with a 16.18% power-play conversion rate.
  • The Lightning have scored two shorthanded goals this season (10th among NHL squads).
  • Tampa Bay's 87.32% penalty-kill success rate is the second-best in the league.
  • Tampa Bay wins 45% of its faceoffs (30th in NHL).
  • The Lightning have an 11.9% shooting percentage as a team, which ranks ninth in the league.

Flyers Key Stats

  • With 56 goals (2.8 per game), Philadelphia has the NHL's 31st-ranked offense.
  • The Flyers give up 2.8 goals per game (56 in total), the third-fewest in the NHL.
  • With a goal differential of 0, the team is 14th in the league.
  • The Flyers have 10 power-play goals (on 57 chances), 24th in the NHL.
  • Philadelphia has the NHL's 22nd-ranked power-play percentage (17.54%).
  • Philadelphia's has the fifth-best penalty-kill percentage (85%).
  • Philadelphia is 25th in faceoff win rate in the NHL (47.8%).
  • The 11.2% shooting percentage of the Flyers is 14th in the league.

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