flexoffers
Back

Lightning vs. Flames NHL Predictions, Picks and Odds - Nov. 26

26 November 2025 By Data Skrive

Both the Tampa Bay Lightning and Calgary Flames are coming off a win, heading into their matchup at Benchmark International Arena on Wednesday at 7 p.m. ET. The Flames are underdogs away from home, at +154, and the Lightning are -185.

Tampa Bay won 3-0 at home its last time out on Nov. 24 against the Philadelphia Flyers. The Lightning got three points each out of Nikita Kucherov (three assists) and Brandon Hagel (two goals and one assist).

Calgary won on the road in its last game on Nov. 23, 5-2 over the Vancouver Canucks. Rasmus Andersson's three points (three assists) in that matchup led the Flames.

Before watching this matchup, here is our pick for which squad will secure the win in Wednesday's hockey action.

Bet now on FanDuel Sportsbook!

Lightning vs. Flames Predictions & Pick

For the upcoming game between the Tampa Bay Lightning and Calgary Flames, computer-derived moneyline, over/under, and score predictions are below, per Dunkel Index.

  • Prediction: Flames 4 - Lightning 3
  • Pick OU: Over 5.5 (Dunkel projecting 7.00 goals)

Pick with the best in the business! Get free picks for every game, every week at the Dunkel Index.

Lightning vs. Flames Moneylines

Take a peek below at the most recent moneylines for the Lightning-Flames matchup.

  • Favorite: Lightning (-185)
  • Underdog: Flames (+154)

Lightning Betting Insights

  • The Lightning are 9-6 when favored on the moneyline this season.
  • Tampa Bay has been a moneyline favorite of -185 or shorter in just two games this season, and split them 1-1.
  • Based on the moneyline in this matchup, the Lightning's implied win probability is 64.9%.
  • Tampa Bay and its opponent have gone over 5.5 combined goals in 11 of 22 games this season.

Flames Betting Insights

  • The Flames have been an underdog in 20 games this season, and won six (30.0%).
  • Calgary has entered four games this season as the underdog by +154 or more and is 1-3 in those contests.
  • Bookmakers have implied, given the moneyline set for this matchup, that the Flames have a 39.4% chance to win.
  • Calgary has combined with its opponent to score over 5.5 goals in 15 of 24 games this season.

Lightning Key Stats

  • Tampa Bay's 69 total goals (3.1 per game) rank 13th in the NHL.
  • The Lightning have given up 60 total goals (2.7 per game), ranking sixth in NHL action for the fewest goals against.
  • Its +9 goal differential is the sixth-best in the league.
  • The 11 power-play goals the Lightning have scored this season rank 21st in the NHL (on 70 power-play chances).
  • Tampa Bay ranks 24th in the league with a 15.71% power-play conversion rate.
  • The Lightning have scored two shorthanded goals this season.
  • Tampa Bay has the league's second-best penalty-kill percentage (87.5%).
  • Tampa Bay wins 45.1% of its faceoffs to rank 30th in the NHL.
  • The Lightning have a 12% shooting percentage as a team, which ranks seventh in the league.

Flames Key Stats

  • Calgary has 57 goals this season (2.4 per game), 29th in the NHL.
  • The Flames' total of 71 goals allowed (3.0 per game) is 20th in the NHL.
  • Its -14 goal differential ranks 28th in the league.
  • The Flames have 11 power-play goals (on 82 chances), 21st in the NHL.
  • Calgary has the league's 31st-ranked power-play percentage (13.41%).
  • The Flames have two shorthanded goals (10th in NHL).
  • At 80.25%, Calgary has the 17th-ranked penalty-kill percentage in the league.
  • Calgary is 17th in faceoff win rate in the NHL (49%).
  • The Flames' 8.1% shooting percentage is 32nd in the league.

NHL PICKS

Dunkel NBA Prediction cards

Latest NHL Predictions

GET YOUR PICKS

TRADE ANY GAME

About Us

Double your profit for 5 straight days.

START TRADING

MLB PICKS

Dunkel NCAAB Prediction cards

Latest MLB Predictions

Get Your Picks