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Lightning vs. Ducks NHL Predictions, Picks and Odds - Dec. 31

31 December 2025 By Data Skrive

The Tampa Bay Lightning and Anaheim Ducks -- the former coming off a win, the latter a loss -- will meet on Wednesday at 4 p.m. ET, at Honda Center in Anaheim. Lightning (-155) at Ducks (+130) has a definite favorite, according to the moneyline odds.

Tampa Bay grabbed a shootout victory at home its last time out on Dec. 28 against the Montreal Canadiens 5-4, taking the shootout 2-0 to seal the win. Nikita Kucherov (two goals) and Oliver Bjorkstrand (two assists) were among the three Lightning skaters who collected two points each.

Anaheim played at home its last time out on Dec. 29, and fell 5-4 against the San Jose Sharks. Troy Terry had three points (two goals and one assist) in that outing for the Ducks.

To prepare for this matchup, here's who we expect to emerge victorious in Wednesday's hockey game.

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Lightning vs. Ducks Predictions & Pick

Ahead of the upcoming game between the Tampa Bay Lightning and Anaheim Ducks, computer-derived moneyline, over/under, and score predictions are below, based on data from Dunkel Index.

  • Prediction: Ducks 4 - Lightning 3
  • Pick OU: Over 6.5 (Dunkel projecting 7.06 goals)

Pick with the best in the business! Get free picks for every game, every week at the Dunkel Index.

Lightning vs. Ducks Moneylines

Snag a peek below at the most recent moneylines for the Lightning-Ducks game.

  • Favorite: Lightning (-155)
  • Underdog: Ducks (+130)

Lightning Betting Insights

  • In the 30 times this season the Lightning have been a moneyline favorite, they have gone 17-13 in those games.
  • Tampa Bay is 9-6 (victorious in 60.0% of its games) when playing with moneyline odds of -155 or shorter.
  • The Lightning's implied moneyline win probability is 60.8% in this matchup.
  • In 16 games this season, Tampa Bay and its opponent have combined for more than 6.5 goals.

Ducks Betting Insights

  • This season the Ducks have been an underdog 27 times, and won 15, or 55.6%, of those games.
  • Anaheim has a record of 5-3 when it's been set as an underdog of +130 or more by oddsmakers this season.
  • Bookmakers have implied, given the moneyline set for this matchup, that the Ducks have a 43.5% chance to win.
  • Anaheim and its opponent have combined to score over 6.5 goals in 25 of 39 games this season.

Lightning Key Stats

  • Tampa Bay has scored the eighth-most goals in the league (125 total, 3.3 per game).
  • The Lightning have conceded 100 total goals (2.6 per game), the third-fewest in NHL action.
  • It has the league's third-best goal differential at +25.
  • The 20 power-play goals the Lightning have scored this season (on 123 power-play chances) rank 20th in the NHL.
  • Tampa Bay is 24th in the league with a 16.26% power-play conversion rate.
  • The three shorthanded goals the Lightning have scored this season rank 11th among NHL squads.
  • Tampa Bay kills 85.27% of opponent power plays, the second-best penalty-kill percentage in the league.
  • Tampa Bay has the 28th-ranked faceoff win rate in the NHL, at 46.6%.
  • The Lightning make 12% of their shots (fifth in the league).

Ducks Key Stats

  • Anaheim is fourth in the NHL in scoring (130 goals, 3.3 per game).
  • The Ducks' total of 137 goals conceded (3.5 per game) is 32nd in the NHL.
  • With a goal differential of -7, the team is 21st in the league.
  • The Ducks have 21 power-play goals (on 126 chances), 17th in the NHL.
  • Anaheim scores on 16.67% of its power plays, No. 23 in the league.
  • This season, the Ducks have six shorthanded goals (second in NHL).
  • Anaheim's has the 27th-ranked penalty-kill percentage (75.78%).
  • Anaheim is 30th in faceoff win percentage in the NHL (46.5%).
  • The 10.8% shooting percentage of the Ducks is 16th in the league.

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