Lightning vs. Devils NHL Predictions, Picks and Odds - Dec. 11
11 December 2025

Both the Tampa Bay Lightning and New Jersey Devils are coming off a victory, heading into their matchup at Prudential Center on Thursday at 7 p.m. ET. The Devils are underdogs despite being the hosts, at +114, and the Lightning are -135.
Tampa Bay won 6-1 on the road its last time out on Dec. 9 against the Montreal Canadiens. Three Lightning players had two points each, including Darren Raddysh (two goals) and Brayden Point (one goal and one assist).
In its last game on Dec. 9, New Jersey secured a 4-3 road victory against the Ottawa Senators. The Devils were led in that outing by Connor Brown (three assists) and Arseni Gritsyuk (one goal and two assists).
Ahead of watching this matchup, here is a look at which squad we think will come out on top in Thursday's action on the ice.
Bet now on FanDuel Sportsbook!Lightning vs. Devils Predictions & Pick
For predictions on the upcoming contest between the Tampa Bay Lightning and New Jersey Devils, computer-calculated moneyline, over/under, and score predictions are below, based on data from Dunkel Index.
- Prediction: Devils 3 - Lightning 2
- Pick OU:
Under 5.5
(Dunkel projecting 5.06 goals)
Pick with the best in the business! Get free picks for every game, every week at the Dunkel Index.
Lightning vs. Devils Moneylines
Take a look below at the latest moneylines for the Lightning-Devils game.
- Favorite: Lightning (-135)
- Underdog: Devils (+114)
Lightning Betting Insights
- In the 22 times this season the Lightning have been a moneyline favorite, they have gone 12-10 in those games.
- Tampa Bay is 10-7 when playing with moneyline odds of -135 or shorter (58.8% win percentage).
- The Lightning have a 57.4% chance (based on the moneyline's implied probability) to win this matchup.
- Tampa Bay's games this season have gone over this matchup's total of 5.5 goals 15 times.
Devils Betting Insights
- The Devils have been made an underdog 12 times this season, and won seven, or 58.3%, of those games.
- New Jersey has a record of 3-5 when it's been set as an underdog of +114 or more by bookmakers this season.
- The moneyline in this contest implies a 46.7% chance of victory for the Devils.
- New Jersey has played 15 games this season that finished with more than 5.5 goals.
Lightning Key Stats
- Tampa Bay's 94 total goals (3.1 per game) make it the 11th-ranked scoring team in the league.
- Defensively, the Lightning have been one of the stingiest units in league action, allowing 76 total goals (2.5 per game) to rank fourth.
- It has the league's fourth-best goal differential at +18.
- The 14 power-play goals the Lightning have put up this season (to rank 24th in the NHL) have come on 92 power-play chances.
- Tampa Bay has the league's 27th-ranked power-play conversion rate (15.22%).
- The two shorthanded goals the Lightning have scored this season rank 13th among NHL squads.
- Tampa Bay has a league-leading 86.46% penalty-kill percentage.
- Tampa Bay wins 45.5% of its faceoffs (31st in NHL).
- The Lightning shoot 11.5% as a team (ninth in the league).
Devils Key Stats
- New Jersey has 86 goals this season (2.9 per game), 22nd in the NHL.
- The Devils' total of 92 goals conceded (3.1 per game) is 16th in the league.
- With a goal differential of -6, the team is 21st in the league.
- With 17 power-play goals (on 76 chances), the Devils are 16th in the NHL.
- New Jersey has the NHL's ninth-best power-play percentage (22.37%).
- In terms of shorthanded goals, the Devils have four.
- At 78.05%, New Jersey has the 24th-ranked penalty-kill percentage in the league.
- New Jersey wins 49.5% of faceoffs, 18th-ranked in the NHL.
- The Devils' 9.8% shooting percentage is 27th in the league.
