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Liberty vs. Aces: Betting Trends, Odds, Records Against the Spread, Predictions - Aug. 9

08 August 2026 By Data Skrive

The Las Vegas Aces (22-10) will look to A'ja Wilson (first in WNBA, 26.3 points per game) going up against Breanna Stewart (third in league, 21.6) and the New York Liberty (19-13) on Sunday, August 9, 2026 at Barclays Center. The matchup tips at 12:30 p.m. ET on ABC.

New York picked up a 92-86 win versus Seattle in their last outing. The squad was led by Stewart's 28 points and eight rebounds and Sabrina Ionescu's 15 points, six assists and two steals.

In its previous game, Las Vegas lost on the road to Minnesota 98-87, with Jackie Young (23 PTS, 46.2 FG%, 3-6 from 3PT) and Wilson (16 PTS, 8 REB, 2 BLK, 29.4 FG%) leading the way.

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Liberty vs. Aces Betting Lines

Grab a look below at the most up-to-date betting lines for the Liberty-Aces game.

  • Favorite: Liberty (-1.5)
  • Total: 183.5
  • Liberty Moneyline: -115
  • Aces Moneyline: -105

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Liberty Betting Insights

  • Based on this game's moneyline, the Liberty have an implied win probability of 53.5%.
  • New York has a 16-10 record in games when it was favored on the moneyline (winning 61.5% of those games).
  • The Liberty have put together a 12-20-0 ATS record so far this year.
  • In 14 games this season, New York and its opponents have gone over 183.5 combined points.
  • The Liberty have an average point total of 173.4 in their outings this year, 10.1 fewer points than this game's over/under.

Aces Betting Insights

  • The Aces have a 51.2% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
  • Las Vegas has split the two games it has played as the underdog this season.
  • The Aces have put together an 18-14-0 ATS record so far this year.
  • Las Vegas has combined with its opponent to score more than 183.5 points in 13 of 32 games this season.
  • The Aces have a 175.8-point average over/under in their matchups this season, 7.7 fewer points than this game's point total.

Key Stats for Liberty vs. Aces

  • New York records only 3.2 more points per game (90.1) than Las Vegas gives up (86.9).
  • The Liberty have a 15-6 record when putting up more than 86.9 points.
  • New York's offense has been much worse when playing at home (86.1 PPG) compared to road games (93.6 PPG). Meanwhile, its defense has been much better when playing at home (81.3 PPG allowed) compared to away games (93 PPG allowed).
  • Las Vegas' 91.7 points per game are just 4.2 more points than the 87.5 New York gives up.
  • The Aces have put together a 17-2 record in games when they've scored more than 87.5 points.
  • At home, Las Vegas is not as good offensively, putting up 90.1 points per game, compared to 92.8 away. It's the same story defensively, giving up 88.1 points per game at home, compared to 85.9 away.

All Media on this page by Associated Press.

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