Chiefs vs. Dolphins Week 3 Dunkel NFL Picks, Predictions and Odds

The Kansas City Chiefs (2-0) are considered favorites (-10.5) according to the oddsmakers ahead of their game versus the Miami Dolphins (0-2) on September 27, 2026, starting at 1 p.m. ET, airing on CBS. The game has an over/under of 45.5 points.

On the offensive side of the ball, the Chiefs have been a top-five unit, ranking third-best in the NFL by putting up 32.0 points per game. They rank 11th on defense (20.0 points allowed per game). This season has been ugly for the Dolphins on both offense and defense, as they are compiling only 13.0 points per contest (second-worst) and allowing 31.0 points per game (fifth-worst).

Chiefs vs. Dolphins Odds and Game Time

• Date: Sunday, September 27, 2026
• Time: 1 p.m. ET
• City: Miami Gardens, Florida
• Venue: Hard Rock Stadium
• Total: 45.5 points
• Spread: Chiefs -10.5
• Moneyline: Chiefs (-649), Dolphins (+470)

How to watch Chiefs vs. Dolphins

• TV Channel: CBS

Betting the Over/Under: Chiefs vs. Dolphins

• Kansas City games have hit the over once this season.
• So far this season, one Miami game has gone over the point total.
• The teams combine to score 45 points per game, 0.5 fewer points than this matchup's total.
• These teams give up a combined 51 points per game, 5.5 more points than this matchup's over/under.

Betting the Spread: Chiefs vs. Dolphins

• Kansas City has won one game against the spread this season.
• The Dolphins are winless against the spread this year (0-2-0).
• Miami has not covered the spread when an underdog by 10.5 points or more this season (in one opportunity).

Betting the Moneyline: Chiefs vs. Dolphins

• Kansas City has been listed as the moneyline favorite only two other times so far this season, and they won both of the games.
• The Dolphins have lost both games they've played as underdogs this season.
• Kansas City has not yet played a game with moneyline odds of -649 or shorter.
• Miami has played as an underdog of +470 or more once this season and lost that game.
• Based on this matchup's moneyline, the Chiefs' implied win probability is 86.6%.

Dunkel Prediction for Chiefs vs. Dolphins

For more expert NFL picks, visit our Dunkel Index NFL Picks and Predictions.