Chiefs vs. Texans Week 14 Dunkel NFL Picks, Predictions and Odds

The Kansas City Chiefs (6-6) are the favorites, expected to win by at least a field goal but less than a touchdown (currently -4.5) over the Houston Texans (7-5), despite the Texans having won four games in a row. The matchup has an over/under of 41.5 points.

The Chiefs rank ninth in total defense this year (306.7 yards allowed per game), but they've been thriving on the other side of the ball, ranking fifth-best in the NFL with 374.8 total yards per game. The Texans' defense has been paving the way for the team, as they rank best in the NFL with 265.7 total yards surrendered per game. In terms of offense, they are compiling 326.8 total yards per game, which ranks 18th.

Chiefs vs. Texans Odds and Game Time

• Date: Sunday, December 7, 2025
• Time: 8:20 p.m. ET
• City: Kansas City, Missouri
• Venue: GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium
• Total: 41.5 points
• Spread: Chiefs -4.5
• Moneyline: Chiefs (-205), Texans (+170)

How to watch Chiefs vs. Texans

• TV Channel: NBC/Peacock

Betting the Over/Under: Chiefs vs. Texans

• In seven of 12 games this season, the Chiefs and their opponents have scored more than 41.5 points.
• So far this season, four of Kansas City's 12 games have gone over the point total.
• The Texans have played four games this season that finished with a combined score over 41.5 points.
• In Houston's 12 contests this season, the combined scoring has gone over the point total three times.
• These two teams average a combined 47.3 points per game, 5.8 more points than this matchup's over/under.
• These teams together surrender 35.8 points per game, 5.7 fewer than this matchup's over/under.

Betting the Spread: Chiefs vs. Texans

• Kansas City has won five games against the spread this season, while failing to cover seven times.
• Kansas City has covered the spread three times this season (3-5 ATS) when playing as at least 4.5-point favorites.
• The Texans have won six games against the spread this season, failing to cover six times.
• Houston has covered the spread once when an underdog by 4.5 points or more this year (in two opportunities).
• The Chiefs are 4-2 against the spread, and 5-1 overall, at home.
• Kansas City has two wins ATS (2-1) as 4.5-point favorites or greater at home.
• The Texans have two wins against the spread and are 3-3 overall, away from home.

Betting the Moneyline: Chiefs vs. Texans

• Kansas City has won 50% of the games this season when it was favored on the moneyline (5-5).
• This season, the Texans have won three out of the six games in which they've been the underdog.
• Kansas City has a record of 4-2 in games it has played as a moneyline favorite with odds of -205 or shorter (66.7%).
• Houston has played as an underdog of +170 or more once this season and won that game.
• Based on this contest's moneyline, the Chiefs' implied win probability is 67.2%.

Dunkel Prediction for Chiefs vs. Texans

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