Chiefs vs. Cowboys Week 13 Dunkel NFL Picks, Predictions and Odds

The Kansas City Chiefs (6-5) are favored by 3.5 points versus the Dallas Cowboys (5-5-1) on November 27, 2025, starting at 4:30 p.m. ET, airing on CBS. An over/under of 53.5 points has been set for the matchup.

On the defensive side of the ball, the Chiefs have been a top-five unit, ranking fourth-best by giving up just 18.3 points per game. They rank ninth on offense (25.2 points per game). Defensively, the Cowboys are bottom-five, surrendering 377.5 total yards per game (fourth-worst). On the bright side, they are dominating on offense, generating 387.3 total yards per contest (best).

Chiefs vs. Cowboys Odds and Game Time

• Date: Thursday, November 27, 2025
• Time: 4:30 p.m. ET
• City: Arlington, Texas
• Venue: AT&T Stadium
• Total: 53.5 points
• Spread: Chiefs -3.5
• Moneyline: Chiefs (-185), Cowboys (+154)

How to watch Chiefs vs. Cowboys

• TV Channel: CBS (KBAK-Bakersfield, CA)
• Live Stream: Fubo

Betting the Over/Under: Chiefs vs. Cowboys

• Chiefs games have had a combined total of more than 53.5 points twice this season (in 11 outings).
• Kansas City games have gone over the point total three out of 11 times this season.
• The Cowboys have combined with their opponents to score more than 53.5 points in six of 11 games this season.
• In 2025, seven Dallas games have hit the over.
• The teams average 54.3 points per game combined, 0.8 more points than this game's total.
• These teams together give up 46.8 points per game, 6.7 fewer than this matchup's over/under.

Betting the Spread: Chiefs vs. Cowboys

• Kansas City has covered the spread five times in 11 games this season.
• When playing as at least 3.5-point favorites this season, the Chiefs have an ATS record of 3-4.
• The Cowboys are 6-5-0 ATS this season.
• Dallas has covered the spread twice this season (2-1 ATS) when playing as at least 3.5-point underdogs.
• At home this season, the Cowboys are 3-1-1 overall and 3-2 against the spread.
• At home, Dallas is unbeaten ATS (1-0) as 3.5-point underdogs or greater.
• The Chiefs are 1-4 overall, with just one win against the spread, on the road.
• Kansas City has one win ATS (1-3) away from home as 3.5-point favorites or more.

Betting the Moneyline: Chiefs vs. Cowboys

• Kansas City has gone 5-4 in games they were listed as the moneyline favorite (winning 55.6% of those games).
• The Cowboys have won two of the five games they've played as underdogs this season.
• When it has played as a moneyline favorite with odds of -185 or shorter, Kansas City has a 4-2 record (winning 66.7% of its games).
• Dallas has not won as an underdog of +154 or more on the moneyline this season in three such games.
• Based on this matchup's moneyline, the Chiefs' implied win probability is 64.9%.

Dunkel Prediction for Chiefs vs. Cowboys

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