Iowa State vs. Arizona State Dunkel Predictions & Vegas Odds - Big 12 Tournament

The No. 5 seed Iowa State Cyclones (25-6, 12-6 Big 12) and the No. 12 seed Arizona State Sun Devils (17-15, 7-11 Big 12) meet in the Big 12 Tournament Wednesday at T-Mobile Center, starting at 12:30 p.m. ET on ESPN. Iowa State is favored by 11.5 points. Both teams are looking to take another step toward a conference title and an automatic spot in the NCAA Tournament bracket. The matchup has an over/under of 147.5.

Iowa State is coming off of an 86-65 win against Arizona State in its last outing on Saturday. Joshua Jefferson scored a team-best 16 points for Iowa State in the win. Arizona State enters this contest after an 83-79 victory against Baylor on Tuesday. Anthony Johnson's team-high 19 points paced Arizona State in the victory.

Iowa State vs. Arizona State Odds and Game Time

• When: Wednesday, March 11, 2026 at 12:30 p.m. ET
• Where: T-Mobile Center in Kansas City, Missouri
• Spread favorite: Iowa State -11.5
• Moneyline favorite: Iowa State -621
• Moneyline underdog: Arizona State +431
• Over/Under: 147.5 points

How to watch Iowa State vs. Arizona State

• TV Channel: ESPN
• Check out the rest of our Dunkel Index NCAA Basketball Picks!

Betting the Over/Under: Iowa State vs. Arizona State

• A total of 16 of Iowa State's games this season have gone over Wednesday's over/under of 147.5 points.
• In Arizona State's 32 games this season, 21 finished with more combined points than Wednesday's point total of 147.5.
• Together, the two teams combine for 159.2 points per game, 11.7 points more than the point total of 147.5 for this matchup.
• These two teams give up a combined 143.6 points per game, 3.9 points less than this contest's over/under.
• This season, the average over/under for Iowa State's games is 147.5 points, matching the over/under of 147.5 for this contest.
• The over/under for this contest is 7.8 points lower than the average over/under in Arizona State's games this season (155.3 points).

Betting the Spread: Iowa State vs. Arizona State

• In Iowa State's 31 games this year, it has 17 wins against the spread.
• This season, the Cyclones have an ATS record of 9-7 in their 16 games as a favorite of 11.5 points or more.
• Arizona State is 20-12-0 against the spread this season.
• This season, the Sun Devils have an against-the-spread record of 3-3 in their six games as an underdog of 11.5 points or more.
• Iowa State is 16-1 overall, and 9-8 against the spread, at home.
• As a 11.5-point favorite or greater at home, Iowa State is 7-7 ATS.
• In away games, Arizona State is 5-6 against the spread, and 2-9 overall.

Betting the Moneyline: Iowa State vs. Arizona State

• Iowa State has won 22, or 81.5%, of the 27 games it has played as the moneyline favorite this season.
• The Cyclones have entered 16 games this season favored by -621 or more and are 15-1 in those contests.
• Iowa State has a 86.1% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
• Arizona State has been chosen as moneyline underdogs in 21 games this year and has walked away with the win nine times (42.9%) in those games.
• This season, the Sun Devils have been a moneyline underdog of -621 or more six times, losing every contest.
• Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that Arizona State has an 18.8% chance of pulling out a win.