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Hurricanes vs. Maple Leafs NHL Predictions, Picks and Odds - Dec. 4

04 December 2025 By Data Skrive

Two clubs at opposite ends of the Eastern Conference will face off when the Carolina Hurricanes (16-7-2, second place) host the Toronto Maple Leafs (12-11-3, 14th) on Thursday at 7 p.m. ET. The Maple Leafs are underdogs away from home, at +170, and the Hurricanes are -205.

Carolina grabbed a 1-0 victory at home its last time out on Nov. 30 against the Calgary Flames. Taylor Hall (one assist) and Sean Walker (one assist) were among the three Hurricanes players who put up one point each.

In its most recent game on Dec. 2, Toronto claimed a 4-1 road victory against the Florida Panthers. Bobby McMann (two assists) and Troy Stecher (one goal and one assist) were among the three Maple Leafs skaters who recorded two points each in that outing.

Before this matchup, here is who we project to take home the victory in Thursday's hockey contest.

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Hurricanes vs. Maple Leafs Predictions & Pick

Ahead of the upcoming game between the Carolina Hurricanes and Toronto Maple Leafs, computer-calculated moneyline, over/under, and score predictions are below, per Dunkel Index.

  • Prediction: Hurricanes 4 - Maple Leafs 3
  • Pick OU: Over 6.5 (Dunkel projecting 7.01 goals)

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Hurricanes vs. Maple Leafs Moneylines

Snag a peek below at the most recent moneylines for the Hurricanes-Maple Leafs matchup.

  • Favorite: Hurricanes (-205)
  • Underdog: Maple Leafs (+170)

Hurricanes Betting Insights

  • The Hurricanes have been victorious in 15 of their 22 games when they were favored on the moneyline this season (68.2%).
  • Carolina has had seven games with moneyline odds of -205 or shorter and won each time.
  • Based on this matchup's moneyline, the Hurricanes have an implied probability of 67.2% to win.
  • In 13 games this season, Carolina and its opponent have combined for more than 6.5 goals.

Maple Leafs Betting Insights

  • The Maple Leafs have been an underdog in eight games this season, and won two (25.0%).
  • Toronto has not been set as a bigger underdog this season than the +170 moneyline for this matchup.
  • The implied probability of a win by the Maple Leafs, based on the moneyline, is 37.0%.
  • Toronto has combined with its opponent to score over 6.5 goals in 18 of 26 games this season.

Hurricanes Key Stats

  • Carolina has scored the eighth-most goals in the NHL (85 total, 3.4 per game).
  • The Hurricanes have conceded 69 total goals (2.8 per game), the sixth-fewest in NHL action.
  • Its goal differential (+16) makes the team fifth-best in the league.
  • The 10 power-play goals the Hurricanes have scored this season (on 73 power-play chances) rank 30th in the NHL.
  • Carolina is 31st in the league with a 13.7% power-play conversion rate.
  • The Hurricanes have capitalized with three shorthanded goals this season (fifth among NHL teams).
  • Carolina kills 79.73% of opponent power plays, the 22nd-ranked penalty-kill percentage in the league.
  • Carolina wins 49.9% of its faceoffs (15th in NHL).
  • The Hurricanes connect on 10.3% of their shots (20th in the league).

Maple Leafs Key Stats

  • Toronto's 89 goals on the season (3.4 per game) rank fifth in the NHL.
  • The Maple Leafs have given up 90 total goals this season (3.5 per game), 22nd in the NHL.
  • With a goal differential of -1, the team is 17th in the league.
  • With 10 power-play goals (on 66 chances), the Maple Leafs are 30th in the NHL.
  • Toronto's power-play percentage (15.15) ranks the team 26th in the league.
  • The Maple Leafs have one shorthanded goal (20th in NHL).
  • The 81.08% penalty-kill percentage of Toronto is 15th in the league.
  • Toronto wins 57% of faceoffs, second-best in the NHL.
  • The Maple Leafs' 12.6% shooting percentage is third in the league.

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