Warriors vs. Mavericks Dunkel NBA Picks, Predictions and Odds - March 23

The Golden State Warriors (33-38) will aim to break a three-game losing streak when they visit the Dallas Mavericks (23-48) on March 23, 2026. The Mavericks have also dropped three games in a row.

Golden State is a modest 2.5-point favorite against Dallas when the Warriors take the court against the Mavericks on Monday. A 231.5-point over/under is set for the matchup.

Warriors vs. Mavericks Odds and Game Time

• Game day: Monday, March 23, 2026
• Game time: 9:30 p.m. ET
• Location: Dallas, Texas
• Arena: American Airlines Center
• Total: 231.5 points
• Spread: Warriors -2.5
• Moneyline: Warriors (-122), Mavericks (+104)

How to watch Warriors vs. Mavericks

• TV Channel: Peacock, NBCS-BA

Betting the Over/Under: Warriors vs. Mavericks

• The Warriors and their opponents have gone over 231.5 combined points in 35 of 71 games this season.
• The Mavericks have played 33 games this season that ended with a point total higher than 231.5 points.
• These teams are scoring 228.2 points per game between them, 3.3 fewer than this matchup's total.
• These teams surrender 233.3 points per game combined, 1.8 more points than the total for this matchup.

Betting the Spread: Warriors vs. Mavericks

• Golden State is 30-40-1 ATS this season.
• The Warriors have covered the spread 17 times this season (17-22-1 ATS) when playing as at least 2.5-point favorites.
• The Mavericks have won 30 games against the spread this year, while failing to cover or pushing 41 times.
• Dallas is 22-24 ATS this season when playing as at least 2.5-point underdogs.
• At home this year, the Mavericks are 17-18-1 against the spread and 14-22 overall.
• At home, Dallas is 3-7-1 ATS as a 2.5-point underdog or greater.
• This year away from home, the Warriors are 16-21 against the spread and 14-23 overall.
• This year Golden State is 6-10 ATS as 2.5-point favorites or more away from home.

Betting the Moneyline: Warriors vs. Mavericks

• The Warriors have won 56.8% of the games this season when they were the moneyline favorite (25-19).
• The Mavericks have been underdogs in 50 games this season and won 13 (26%) of those contests.
• When playing as a moneyline favorite with odds of -122 or shorter, Golden State has gone 23-18 (56.1% win percentage).
• Dallas has a record of 11-36, a 23.4% win rate, when it is set as the underdog by +104 or more by sportsbooks this season.
• Based on this matchup's moneyline, the Warriors have an implied win probability of 55.0%.

Dunkel Index Prediction for Warriors vs. Mavericks

• Pick ATS: Mavericks (+ 2.5)
• Pick OU: Under (231.5)
  
• Prediction: Mavericks 114 - Warriors 113
• Check out the rest of our Dunkel Index NBA Picks!