Warriors vs. Mavericks Dunkel NBA Picks, Predictions and Odds - Dec. 25

The Dallas Mavericks (12-19) will visit the Golden State Warriors (15-15) after dropping four consecutive road games.

The Warriors square off against the Mavericks in a game that Golden State is currently a strong favorite by 8 points. The game has a point total of 229.5.

Warriors vs. Mavericks Odds and Game Time

• Game day: Thursday, December 25, 2025
• Game time: 5 p.m. ET
• Location: San Francisco, California
• Arena: Chase Center
• Total: 229.5 points
• Spread: Warriors -8
• Moneyline: Warriors (-334), Mavericks (+270)

How to watch Warriors vs. Mavericks

• TV Channel: ESPN
• Live Stream: Fubo

Betting the Over/Under: Warriors vs. Mavericks

• The Warriors and their opponents have gone over 229.5 combined points in 15 of 30 games this season.
• The Mavericks have combined with their opponent to score more than 229.5 points in 17 of 31 games this season.
• The teams combine to score 227.8 points per game, 1.7 fewer points than this matchup's total.
• Opponents of these teams put up 229.7 combined points per game, 0.2 more points than this contest's over/under.

Betting the Spread: Warriors vs. Mavericks

• Golden State has covered 13 times in 30 chances against the spread this season.
• The Warriors have been favored by 8 points or more eight times this season, and covered the spread in four of those games.
• The Mavericks have covered 14 times in 31 chances against the spread this season.
• Dallas has covered the spread five times this season (5-3 ATS) when playing as at least 8-point underdogs.
• At home this season, the Warriors are 9-4 overall and 6-6-1 against the spread.
• As a 8-point favorite or greater at home, Golden State is 3-2-1 ATS.
• On the road, the Mavericks are 3-10 overall and 5-8 against the spread.

Betting the Moneyline: Warriors vs. Mavericks

• The Warriors have won 11 of the 20 games they were listed as the moneyline favorite this season (55%).
• The Mavericks have won eight, or 38.1%, of the 21 games they've played as underdogs this season.
• When playing as a moneyline favorite with odds of -334 or shorter, Golden State has a record of 6-2 (75% win percentage).
• This season, Dallas has won two of its eight games when it is the underdog by at least +270 on the moneyline.
• Based on this contest's moneyline, the Warriors have an implied win probability of 77.0%.

Dunkel Index Prediction for Warriors vs. Mavericks

• Pick ATS: Mavericks (+ 8)
• Pick OU: Under (229.5)
  
• Prediction: Mavericks 111 - Warriors 110
• Check out the rest of our Dunkel Index NBA Picks!