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Golden Knights vs. Blackhawks NHL Predictions, Picks and Odds - Jan. 4

04 January 2026 By Data Skrive

The Vegas Golden Knights and Chicago Blackhawks are coming off a defeat and a victory, respectively, heading into their matchup at United Center on Sunday at 7 p.m. ET. Golden Knights (-265) at Blackhawks (+215) appears like a mismatch, according to the moneyline odds.

Vegas fell 4-3 on the road in its last game on Jan. 2 against the St. Louis Blues. Kaedan Korczak (one assist) and Brett Howden (one assist) were among the seven Golden Knights players who recorded one point each.

Chicago's most recent game was a shootout victory on the road on Jan. 3 against the Washington Capitals 3-2 (3-2). Tyler Bertuzzi (one assist) and Andre Burakovsky (one assist) were among the five Blackhawks skaters who collected one point each in that matchup.

Ahead of watching this matchup, here's a glimpse at which club we pick to bring home the victory in Sunday's action on the ice.

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Golden Knights vs. Blackhawks Predictions & Pick

For predictions on the upcoming game between the Vegas Golden Knights and Chicago Blackhawks, computer-derived moneyline, over/under, and score predictions are below, sourced from Dunkel Index.

  • Prediction: Blackhawks 4 - Golden Knights 3
  • Pick OU: Over 6.5 (Dunkel projecting 6.90 goals)

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Golden Knights vs. Blackhawks Moneylines

Grab a peek below at the most recent moneylines for the Golden Knights-Blackhawks game.

  • Favorite: Golden Knights (-265)
  • Underdog: Blackhawks (+215)

Golden Knights Betting Insights

  • The Golden Knights have won 45.5% of their games when they've been a moneyline favorite this season (15-18).
  • Vegas has been a moneyline favorite of -265 or shorter twice this season, and won both.
  • Based on the moneyline in this game, the Golden Knights' implied win probability is 72.6%.
  • Vegas' games this season have gone over this matchup's total of 6.5 goals 19 times.

Blackhawks Betting Insights

  • This season the Blackhawks have won 16 of the 39 games, or 41.0%, in which they've been an underdog.
  • Chicago has entered seven games this season as an underdog by +215 or more and is 3-4 in those contests.
  • Bookmakers have implied, given the moneyline set for this matchup, that the Blackhawks have a 31.7% chance to win.
  • Chicago has played 17 games this season that finished with over 6.5 goals.

Golden Knights Key Stats

  • Vegas' 121 total goals (3.1 per game) make it the 19th-ranked scoring team in the NHL.
  • Defensively, the Golden Knights are conceding 118 total goals (3.0 per game) to rank 11th in NHL play.
  • Its goal differential (+3) makes the team 10th-best in the league.
  • The 30 power-play goals the Golden Knights have put up this season (eighth-most in the NHL) have come on 122 power-play chances.
  • Vegas ranks seventh in the league with a 24.59% power-play conversion rate.
  • The Golden Knights have scored one shorthanded goal this season.
  • Vegas' 82.11% penalty-kill success rate is the sixth-best in the league.
  • Vegas wins 51.9% of its faceoffs to rank eighth in the NHL.
  • The Golden Knights have a 10.7% shooting percentage as a team, which ranks 15th in the league.

Blackhawks Key Stats

  • Chicago has 113 goals this season (2.8 per game), 25th in the league.
  • The Blackhawks concede 3.2 goals per game (129 in total), 20th in the NHL.
  • With a goal differential of -16, the team is 28th in the league.
  • With 25 power-play goals (on 116 chances), the Blackhawks are 13th in the NHL.
  • Chicago's power-play percentage (21.55) puts the team 11th in the league.
  • This season, the Blackhawks have three shorthanded goals (12th in league).
  • At 83.58%, Chicago has the fourth-best penalty-kill percentage in the league.
  • Chicago is 29th in faceoff win rate in the NHL (46.6%).
  • With a shooting percentage of 10.9%, the Blackhawks are 14th in the league.

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