Florida State vs. Troy Dunkel Predictions & Vegas Odds - Nov. 6

The Florida State Seminoles (1-0) host the Troy Trojans (0-1) at Donald L. Tucker Civic Center, tipping off at 7 p.m. ET on Friday, November 6, 2026. The Seminoles are 22.5-point favorites in the game. The matchup's point total is 159.5.

Their last time out, Florida State won on Monday 113-69 against Florida A&M. Sebastian Rancik's team-high 25 points led Florida State in the victory. Troy lost its last matchup 71-60 against UMass on Monday. Donovan Oday scored 21 points in Troy's loss, leading the team.

Florida State vs. Troy Odds and Game Time

• When: Friday, November 6, 2026 at 7 p.m. ET
• Where: Donald L. Tucker Civic Center in Tallahassee, Florida
• Spread favorite: Florida State -22.5
• Moneyline favorite: Florida State -12500
• Moneyline underdog: Troy +2225
• Over/Under: 159.5 points

How to watch Florida State vs. Troy

• TV Channel: ACC Network Extra
• Check out the rest of our Dunkel Index NCAA Basketball Picks!

Betting the Over/Under: Florida State vs. Troy

• Florida State played 16 games with over 159.5 points scored, its current matchup's over/under, last season.
• A total of 12 Troy's games last season (out of 32) had more than 159.5 total points scored.
• The Seminoles and the Trojans combined to average 0.2 more points per game a season ago than the total of 159.5 set for this matchup.
• The Seminoles and the Trojans saw their opponents average a combined 8.4 fewer points per game last season than the over/under of 159.5 set in this game.
• The average point total in Florida State's games last year was 1.2 fewer points than the over/under of 159.5 in this matchup.
• Troy's games in 2025 averaged an over/under of 152.5 points, 7.0 fewer than the point total in this matchup.

Betting the Spread: Florida State vs. Troy

• Florida State compiled a 20-13-0 record against the spread last season.
• The Seminoles had an ATS record of 4-1 when playing as at least 22.5-point favorites last season.
• Troy went 17-15-0 ATS last year.
• Florida State was 10-7 against the spread, and 11-6 overall, at home last year.
• At home last year, Florida State was 4-1 ATS as a 22.5-point favorite or greater.
• Away from home last season, Troy was 9-7 overall and 8-8 against the spread.

Betting the Moneyline: Florida State vs. Troy

• Florida State won 81.2% of the games last season in which it was favored on the moneyline (13-3).
• The Seminoles played as a moneyline favorite of -12500 or shorter in only one game last season, which they won.
• Based on this matchup's moneyline, Florida State's implied win probability is 99.2%.
• Last season, Troy won five out of the nine games in which it was the underdog.
• The Trojans were not a bigger underdog last season than the +2225 moneyline set for this game.
• The oddsmakers' moneyline implies a 4.3% chance of a victory for Troy.