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Fever vs. Mercury: Betting Trends, Odds, Records Against the Spread, Predictions - June 24

23 June 2026 By Data Skrive

The Phoenix Mercury (5-13) will look to Kahleah Copper (10th in WNBA, 19.2 points per game) to help knock off Kelsey Mitchell (fourth in league, 20.9) and the Indiana Fever (10-7) on Wednesday, June 24, 2026 at Gainbridge Fieldhouse, at 7:30 p.m. ET on USA, AZFamily, WTHR-13, and Fever Direct.

In Indiana's previous matchup, it took down Phoenix 86-77 at home. Caitlin Clark (24 PTS, 9 AST, 47.1 FG%, 3-10 from 3PT) and Mitchell (22 PTS, 40 FG%, 3-10 from 3PT) led the way for the Fever. Copper (20 PTS, 42.9 FG%, 2-7 from 3PT) and Alyssa Thomas (19 PTS, 9 AST, 66.7 FG%) paced the Mercury.

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Fever vs. Mercury Betting Lines

Snag a look below at the most up-to-date betting lines for the Fever-Mercury matchup.

  • Favorite: Fever (-9.5)
  • Total: 176.5
  • Fever Moneyline: -420
  • Mercury Moneyline: +310

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Fever Betting Insights

  • The Fever have an 80.8% chance to win this contest based on the moneyline's implied probability.
  • Indiana is 10-4 in games as a moneyline favorite (winning 71.4% of those games).
  • The Fever are 7-10-0 ATS this season.
  • In eight of 17 games this season, Indiana and its opponents have combined to total more than 176.5 points.
  • The average point total in Fever games this season is 174.7, 1.8 points fewer than this matchup's over/under.

Mercury Betting Insights

  • The oddsmakers' moneyline implies a 24.4% chance of a victory for the Mercury.
  • Phoenix has entered the game as the underdog 12 times this season and won twice.
  • The Mercury have covered six times in 18 games with a spread this season.
  • Phoenix has played four games this season that ended with a combined score over 176.5 points.
  • The Mercury have had an average of 168.1 points scored in their games so far this season, 8.4 points fewer than this game's over/under.

Key Stats for Fever vs. Mercury

  • Indiana scores 6.2 more points per game (92.1) than Phoenix allows (85.9).
  • The Fever are 7-5 when scoring more than 85.9 points.
  • Indiana's offense has been drastically better at home (97.2 PPG) compared to its play on the road (84.7 PPG). However, its defense has been worse when playing at home (89.7 PPG allowed) when compared to road games (87.9 PPG allowed).
  • Phoenix scores 6.7 fewer points per game (82.2) than Indiana allow its opponents to score (88.9).
  • The Mercury have put together a 3-2 record in games when they've scored more than 88.9 points.
  • At home Phoenix averages 87.6 points per game, 9.8 more than away (77.8). On defense, it allows 93.4 points per game at home, 13.4 more than away (80).

All Media on this page by Associated Press.

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