East Tennessee State vs. South Alabama Dunkel Predictions & Vegas Odds - Dec. 5

The East Tennessee State Buccaneers (6-2) hit the court against the South Alabama Jaguars (8-1) as 4.5-point favorites on Friday, December 5, 2025 at 7 p.m. ET on ESPN+. The matchup has an over/under set at 140.5 points.

East Tennessee State is coming off of an 88-71 loss to Dayton in its last outing on Tuesday. Blake Barkley scored a team-high 21 points for East Tennessee State in the loss. South Alabama's last game on Tuesday ended in a 77-75 victory over New Mexico State. Adam Olsen totaled 21 points, two rebounds and one assist for South Alabama.

East Tennessee State vs. South Alabama Odds and Game Time

• When: Friday, December 5, 2025 at 7 p.m. ET
• Where: Freedom Hall Civic Center in Johnson City, Tennessee
• Spread favorite: East Tennessee State -4.5
• Moneyline favorite: East Tennessee State -208
• Moneyline underdog: South Alabama +172
• Over/Under: 140.5 points

How to watch East Tennessee State vs. South Alabama

• TV Channel: ESPN+
• Check out the rest of our Dunkel Index NCAA Basketball Picks!

Betting the Over/Under: East Tennessee State vs. South Alabama

• East Tennessee State and its opponents have combined to hit the over on Friday's total of 140.5 points three times this season.
• Four of South Alabama's games have finished with a combined score over 140.5 points this season.
• The point total for the matchup of 140.5 is 16.8 points fewer than the combined points per game averages for the Buccaneers (80.5) and Jaguars (76.8).
• The 131 points per game these two teams allow to opponents combined this season are 9.5 less than the 140.5-point total in this contest.
• On average, East Tennessee State has seen a 145.1-point over/under in its games this season, 4.6 more points than the over/under in this matchup.
• South Alabama's games have an average over/under of 143.2 points this season, 2.7 more points than the over/under for this matchup.

Betting the Spread: East Tennessee State vs. South Alabama

• In East Tennessee State's seven games this year, it has five wins against the spread.
• The Buccaneers have been favored by 4.5 points or more five times this season and are 4-1 ATS in those games.
• South Alabama is 4-4-0 against the spread this season.
• This year, the Jaguars are winless ATS when entering a game as an underdog of 4.5 points or more.
• East Tennessee State has covered the spread every time, and is 4-0 overall, at home this season.
• This season, as a 4.5-point favorite or greater at home, East Tennessee State is 4-0 ATS.
• This year in away games, South Alabama is 3-1 against the spread and 3-1 overall.

Betting the Moneyline: East Tennessee State vs. South Alabama

• East Tennessee State has been the moneyline favorite in five games this season and won four (80%) of those contests.
• This season, the Buccaneers have won four of their five games when favored by at least -208 on the moneyline.
• The sportsbooks' moneyline implies a 67.5% chance of a victory for East Tennessee State.
• South Alabama has been chosen as moneyline underdogs in four games this year and has walked away with the win three times (75%) in those games.
• The Jaguars have played as an underdog of +172 or more just one time this year and came away with a loss in that game.
• South Alabama has an implied victory probability of 36.8% according to the moneyline set by sportsbooks for this matchup.