Dream vs. Mercury: Betting Trends, Odds, Records Against the Spread, Predictions - May 24

The Phoenix Mercury (2-4) face the Atlanta Dream (3-1) on Sunday, May 24, 2026 at Gateway Center Arena. It begins at 3 p.m. ET on WANF, Peachtree Sports Network, AZFamily, and Victory+.

In Atlanta's last game, it defeated Dallas 86-69. The Dream were led by Rhyne Howard, who finished with 25 points, eight assists, four steals and two blocks, and Allisha Gray, with 16 points.

Phoenix fell to Los Angeles 97-88 at home last time out, and were led by Alyssa Thomas (23 PTS, 7 REB, 7 AST, 2 STL, 53.8 FG%) and Kahleah Copper (22 PTS, 35 FG%).

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Dream vs. Mercury Betting Lines

Grab a look below at the most recent betting lines for the Dream-Mercury matchup.

• Favorite: Dream (-5.5)
• Total: 167.5
• Dream Moneyline: -215
• Mercury Moneyline: +172

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Dream Betting Insights (2025 Stats)

• Based on this contest's moneyline, the Dream's implied win probability is 68.3%.
• Atlanta finished with a 22-9 record in games it was listed as the moneyline favorite last season (winning 71% of those games).
• The Dream went 30-17-0 ATS last season.
• Atlanta and its opponents went over 167.5 combined points in 18 of 47 games last season.
• Dream contests last season had an average total of 161.6, 5.9 fewer points than this game's over/under.

Mercury Betting Insights

• The moneyline for this contest implies a 36.8% chance of a victory for the Mercury.
• Phoenix has split the two games it has played as the underdog this season.
• The Mercury have a record of 2-4-0 against the spread this season.
• Phoenix has played five games this season that finished with a point total above 167.5 points.
• Mercury games this year have had a 168.2-point total on average, 0.7 more points than this matchup's over/under.

Key Stats for Dream vs. Mercury

• Last year, Atlanta averaged just 4.3 more points per game (84.4) than Phoenix allowed (80.1).
• The Dream had a 24-4 record last season when putting up more than 80.1 points.
• Offensively Atlanta fared better at home last year, posting 86 points per game, compared to 82.8 per game in road games.
• Phoenix put up six more points per game last year (82.8) than Atlanta gave up to opponents (76.8).
• When they scored more than 76.8 points last season, the Mercury went 24-8.
• In 2025, Phoenix averaged two more points per game at home (83.8) than on the road (81.8).

All Media on this page by Associated Press.