Dream vs. Mercury: Betting Trends, Odds, Records Against the Spread, Predictions - May 24

The Phoenix Mercury (2-4) play the Atlanta Dream (3-1) on Sunday, May 24, 2026 at Gateway Center Arena. It starts at 3 p.m. ET on WANF, Peachtree Sports Network, AZFamily, and Victory+.

Atlanta enters this game after an 86-69 win against Dallas. The Dream's leading scorer was Rhyne Howard, who ended the game with 25 points, eight assists, four steals and two blocks.

Phoenix won at home over Los Angeles 88-97 last time out, and were led by Alyssa Thomas (23 PTS, 7 REB, 7 AST, 2 STL, 53.8 FG%) and Kahleah Copper (22 PTS, 35 FG%).

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Dream vs. Mercury Betting Lines

Take a peek below at the most up-to-date betting lines for the Dream-Mercury game.

• Favorite: Dream (-5.5)
• Total: 169.5
• Dream Moneyline: -215
• Mercury Moneyline: +172

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Dream Betting Insights (2025 Stats)

• Based on this game's moneyline, the Dream's implied win probability is 68.3%.
• Atlanta was the moneyline favorite 31 total times last season. It finished 22-9 in those games.
• The Dream won 30 games against the spread last season, while failing to cover 17 times.
• Atlanta's games last season featured more combined points than this contest's total of 169.5 points 16 times.
• Dream outings last season had an average point total of 161.6, 7.9 fewer points than this game's over/under.

Mercury Betting Insights

• The Mercury have a 36.8% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
• Phoenix has split the two games it has played as the underdog this season.
• The Mercury have covered twice in six games with a spread this year.
• Phoenix has combined with its opponents to score more than 169.5 points in five of six games this season.
• The average total for Mercury games this season is 168.2 points, 1.3 fewer points than this game's over/under.

Key Stats for Dream vs. Mercury

• Last year, the 84.4 points per game Atlanta averaged were just 4.3 more points than Phoenix gave up (80.1).
• When the Dream put up more than 80.1 points last season, they went 24-4.
• Atlanta scored 86 points per game last season when playing at home, which was 3.2 more points than it averaged in away games (82.8).
• Phoenix put up six more points per game last year (82.8) than Atlanta gave up to opponents (76.8).
• The Mercury went 24-8 last season when they scored more than 76.8 points.
• In 2025, Phoenix scored two more points per game at home (83.8) than away (81.8).

All Media on this page by Associated Press.