Aces vs. Fire: Betting Trends, Odds, Records Against the Spread, Predictions - July 9

The Portland Fire (9-12) go up against the Las Vegas Aces (15-6) on Thursday, July 9, 2026 at Moda Center. It tips at 10 p.m. ET on Amazon Prime Video, The Spot-Vegas 34, and FOX12+.

In its last outing, Las Vegas fell short of victory by a final score of 84-68 versus Indiana. The Aces were led by Jackie Young's 15 points and four assists and Jewell Loyd's 12 points.

In its most recent game, Portland defeated Seattle, 77-72, on the road. Its top scorers were Carla Leite (20 PTS, 50.0 FG%) and Bridget Carleton (14 PTS, 7 REB, 2 STL, 28.6 FG%).

Bet now on FanDuel Sportsbook!

Aces vs. Fire Betting Lines

Grab a peek below at the most recent betting lines for the Aces-Fire matchup.

• Favorite: Aces (-8.5)
• Total: 175.5
• Aces Moneyline: -400
• Fire Moneyline: +290

Pick with the best in the business! Get free picks for every game, every week at the Dunkel Index.

Aces Betting Insights

• Based on this matchup's moneyline, the Aces' implied win probability is 80.0%.
• Las Vegas has a 15-6 record in games when it was listed as a moneyline favorite (winning 71.4% of those games).
• The Aces are 12-9-0 ATS this season.
• Las Vegas and its opponents have combined to score more than 175.5 points in 10 of 21 games this season.
• The Aces have had an average of 174.0 points in their games this season, 1.5 fewer than this matchup's total.

Fire Betting Insights

• Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Fire have a 25.6% chance to win.
• Portland has been the underdog in 17 games this season and won six (35.3%) of those contests.
• The Fire have covered nine times in 21 chances against the spread this season.
• Portland has combined with its opponents to score more than 175.5 points in 11 of 21 games this season.
• The Fire have had an average of 170.0 points scored in their games so far this season, 5.5 points fewer than this game's over/under.

Key Stats for Aces vs. Fire

• Las Vegas scores 90.0 points per game, just 1.3 fewer points than the 91.3 Portland gives up.
• When the Aces put up more than 91.3 points, they are 10-1.
• In 2026, Las Vegas' offense has been worse at home, where it scores 87.9 points per game, compared to on the road, where it puts up 91.8. On defense it has been worse when playing at home, where it allows 88.5 points per game, versus playing on the road, where it allows its opponents to score 84.5.
• Portland puts up an average of 84.3 points per game, just 2.1 fewer points than the 86.4 Las Vegas gives up.
• The Fire have put together a 4-3 record in games when they've scored more than 86.4 points.
• Portland puts up 83.8 points per game at home, 1.0 fewer points than away (84.8). Defensively, it concedes 87.5 per game, 8.1 fewer points than away (95.6).

All Media on this page by Associated Press.