Aces vs. Fire: Betting Trends, Odds, Records Against the Spread, Predictions - July 9

The Las Vegas Aces (15-6) face the Portland Fire (9-12) at 10 p.m. ET on Thursday, July 9, 2026 on The Spot-Vegas 34 and FOX12+.

Las Vegas fell to Indiana 84-68 in its last game. Jackie Young led the way with 15 points and four assists, followed by Jewell Loyd with 12 points.

In its previous game, Portland beat Seattle, 77-72, on the road. Its top performers were Carla Leite (20 PTS, 50 FG%) and Bridget Carleton (14 PTS, 7 REB, 2 STL, 28.6 FG%).

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Aces vs. Fire Betting Lines

Take a look below at the latest betting lines for the Aces-Fire game.

• Favorite: Aces (-8.5)
• Total: 174.5
• Aces Moneyline: -429
• Fire Moneyline: +320

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Aces Betting Insights

• Based on this matchup's moneyline, the Aces' implied win probability is 81.1%.
• Las Vegas has won 71.4% of its games this season when favored on the moneyline (15-6).
• The Aces have won 12 games against the spread this season, while failing to cover nine times.
• In 10 of 21 games this season, Las Vegas and its opponents have combined to score more than 174.5 points.
• The Aces have an average total of 174.0 in their matchups this year, 0.5 fewer points than this game's over/under.

Fire Betting Insights

• The Fire have a 23.8% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
• This season, Portland has won six out of the 17 games, or 35.3%, in which it has been the underdog.
• The Fire are 9-12-0 ATS this year.
• Portland has combined with its opponent to score more than 174.5 points in 11 of 21 games this season.
• The Fire have had an average of 170.0 points scored in their games so far this season, 4.5 points fewer than this game's over/under.

Key Stats for Aces vs. Fire

• Las Vegas scores only 1.3 fewer points per game (90) than Portland gives up (91.3).
• The Aces have a 10-1 record when putting up more than 91.3 points.
• In 2026, Las Vegas' offense has been worse at home, where it scores 87.9 points per game, compared to road games, where it puts up 91.8. Defensively it has been worse at home, where it surrenders 88.5 points per game, versus playing on the road, where it allows opponents to score 84.5.
• Portland averages only 2.1 fewer points per game (84.3) than Las Vegas gives up to opponents (86.4).
• The Fire have put together a 4-3 record in games when they've scored more than 86.4 points.
• Portland averages fewer points per game at home (83.8) than on the road (84.8), but also allows fewer at home (87.5) than away (95.6).

All Media on this page by Associated Press.