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Maple Leafs vs. Kraken NHL Predictions, Picks and Odds - Jan. 29

29 January 2026 By Data Skrive

The Toronto Maple Leafs and Seattle Kraken are coming off a loss and a victory, respectively, heading into their meeting at Climate Pledge Arena on Thursday at 10 p.m. ET. The sportsbooks see this as a close one, with the Maple Leafs -112 to win on the moneyline, and the Kraken at -108.

Toronto's most recent game was a 7-4 home loss against the Buffalo Sabres on Jan. 27. Auston Matthews (one goal and two assists) and Max Domi (one goal and two assists) each had three points for the Maple Leafs.

Seattle won at home in its most recent game on Jan. 27, 5-1 over the Washington Capitals. Jared McCann's four points (two goals and two assists) in that matchup led the Kraken.

Get ready for this matchup by checking out our prediction for who will win the game in Thursday's hockey action.

Bet now on FanDuel Sportsbook!

Maple Leafs vs. Kraken Predictions & Pick

For predictions on the upcoming contest between the Toronto Maple Leafs and Seattle Kraken, computer-derived moneyline, over/under, and score predictions are below, based on data from Dunkel Index.

  • Prediction: Kraken 5 - Maple Leafs 2
  • Pick OU: Over 6.5 (Dunkel projecting 7.00 goals)

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Maple Leafs vs. Kraken Moneylines

Snag a peek below at the most up-to-date moneylines for the Maple Leafs-Kraken matchup.

  • Favorite: Maple Leafs (-112)
  • Underdog: Kraken (-108)

Maple Leafs Betting Insights

  • In the 25 times this season the Maple Leafs have been a moneyline favorite, they have finished 12-13 in those games.
  • When playing with moneyline odds of -112 or shorter, Toronto has compiled a 12-13 record (winning 48.0% of its games).
  • The Maple Leafs' implied moneyline win probability is 52.8% in this matchup.
  • Toronto's games this season have finished above this matchup's total of 6.5 goals 31 times.

Kraken Betting Insights

  • The Kraken have been an underdog in 46 games this season, and won 21 (45.7%).
  • Seattle is 21-25 this season when entering a game as an underdog by -108 or more on the moneyline.
  • The Kraken have a 51.9% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
  • Seattle has played 16 games this season that ended with over 6.5 goals.

Maple Leafs Key Stats

  • Toronto has scored the ninth-most goals in the NHL (174 total, 3.3 per game).
  • The Maple Leafs rank 30th in goals against, giving up 182 total goals (3.4 per game) in NHL action.
  • Its goal differential (-8) ranks 20th in the league.
  • The 22 power-play goals the Maple Leafs have put up this season rank 32nd in the NHL (on 128 power-play chances).
  • Toronto's 17.19% power-play conversion rate ranks 24th in the league.
  • The Maple Leafs have recorded three shorthanded goals this season (19th among NHL teams).
  • Toronto kills 83.21% of opponent power plays, the seventh-best penalty-kill percentage in the league.
  • Toronto wins 56.6% of its faceoffs to lead the NHL.
  • The Maple Leafs connect on 12.2% of their shots (sixth in the league).

Kraken Key Stats

  • Seattle has 147 goals this season (2.8 per game), 24th in the NHL.
  • The Kraken's total of 151 goals conceded (2.9 per game) is ninth in the NHL.
  • Its -4 goal differential ranks 17th in the league.
  • The Kraken have 33 power-play goals (13th in NHL) on 151 chances.
  • Seattle has the NHL's 12th-ranked power-play percentage (21.85%).
  • In terms of shorthanded goal, the Kraken have one.
  • Seattle's has the 31st-ranked penalty-kill percentage (71.92%).
  • Seattle is 28th in faceoff win rate in the NHL (47.1%).
  • With a shooting percentage of 11.1%, the Kraken are 15th in the league.

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