Dream vs. Mercury: Betting Trends, Odds, Records Against the Spread, Predictions - Aug. 5

Kahleah Copper and the Phoenix Mercury (12-19) face Allisha Gray and the Atlanta Dream (18-11) on Wednesday, August 5, 2026 at Gateway Center Arena, at 7 p.m. ET on WANF, Peachtree Sports Network, and Victory+.

In its last outing, Atlanta fell short in a 109-87 defeat to Las Vegas. The Dream were led by Angel Reese, who ended the game with 23 points and 16 rebounds, while Rhyne Howard added 19 points.

In its most recent game, Phoenix won on the road over Chicago 106-101, with Copper (31 PTS, 52.6 FG%, 4-8 from 3PT) and Kelsey Plum (20 PTS, 60 FG%, 3-5 from 3PT) leading the way.

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Dream vs. Mercury Betting Lines

Snag a peek below at the most up-to-date betting lines for the Dream-Mercury game.

• Favorite: Dream (-5.5)
• Total: 180.5
• Dream Moneyline: -225
• Mercury Moneyline: +180

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Dream Betting Insights

• Based on this contest's moneyline, the Dream's implied win probability is 69.2%.
• Atlanta has won 65.4% of its games this season when favored on the moneyline (17-9).
• The Dream have compiled an 11-18-0 record against the spread this season.
• In 13 games this season, Atlanta and its opponents have scored more than 180.5 combined points.
• The average total in Dream matchups this year is 171.3, 9.2 fewer points than this game's over/under.

Mercury Betting Insights

• The Mercury have a 35.7% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
• Phoenix has entered the game as the underdog 19 times this season and won six, or 31.6%, of those games.
• The Mercury have won 15 games against the spread this year, while failing to cover 16 times.
• Phoenix has combined with its opponent to score more than 180.5 points in nine of 31 games this season.
• Mercury games this season have had an average of 169.1 points, 11.4 fewer points than this game's point total.

Key Stats for Dream vs. Mercury

• Atlanta averages just 2.0 more points per game (89.3) than Phoenix allows (87.3).
• The Dream are 12-3 when scoring more than 87.3 points.
• Atlanta has scored at a much higher rate at home than on the road in the 2026 season (92.8 points per game at home versus 85.6 on the road), but has also surrendered more points in home games than away (88.1 per home game versus 83.9 on the road).
• Phoenix puts up an average of 84.3 points per game, just 1.8 fewer points than the 86.1 Atlanta gives up.
• The Mercury have put together an 8-6 record in games when they've scored more than 86.1 points.
• At home Phoenix averages 85.6 points per game, 2.6 more than on the road (83.0). Defensively, it allows 88.3 points per game at home, 1.9 more than away (86.4).

All Media on this page by Associated Press.