Nuggets vs. Timberwolves Dunkel NBA Picks, Predictions and Odds - Dec. 25

The Minnesota Timberwolves (20-10) will attempt to build on a three-game road winning stretch at the Denver Nuggets (21-8) on December 25, 2025.

Denver is a small 2.5-point favorite against Minnesota when the Nuggets take the court against the Timberwolves on Thursday. The game has an over/under of 239.5.

Nuggets vs. Timberwolves Odds and Game Time

• Game day: Thursday, December 25, 2025
• Game time: 10:30 p.m. ET
• Location: Denver, Colorado
• Arena: Ball Arena
• Total: 239.5 points
• Spread: Nuggets -2.5
• Moneyline: Nuggets (-126), Timberwolves (+108)

How to watch Nuggets vs. Timberwolves

• TV Channel: ESPN
• Live Stream: Fubo

Betting the Over/Under: Nuggets vs. Timberwolves

• In 19 of 29 games this season, the Nuggets and their opponents have combined to score more than 239.5 points.
• The Timberwolves have played six games this season that ended with a combined score higher than 239.5 points.
• The teams average 243.7 points per game combined, 4.2 more points than this game's total.
• Opponents of these two teams average 230 points per game combined, 9.5 fewer than this matchup's total.

Betting the Spread: Nuggets vs. Timberwolves

• Denver has won 17 games against the spread this season, while failing to cover 12 times.
• The Nuggets have covered the spread 14 times this season (14-10 ATS) when playing as at least 2.5-point favorites.
• The Timberwolves have covered 12 times in 30 games with a spread this year.
• Minnesota has covered the spread three times this year (3-2 ATS) when playing as at least 2.5-point underdogs.
• At home this season, the Nuggets are 9-5 overall and 8-6 against the spread.
• Denver is 7-5 ATS as a 2.5-point favorite or more at home.
• The Timberwolves are 8-5 overall, and 5-8 against the spread, in away games.
• This year, as 2.5-point underdogs or more on the road, Minnesota is 3-6 ATS.

Betting the Moneyline: Nuggets vs. Timberwolves

• The Nuggets have gone 19-6 in games they were listed as the moneyline favorite (winning 76% of those games).
• The Timberwolves have won two of the six games they've played as underdogs this season.
• Denver has a record of 18-6 when it has played as a moneyline favorite with odds of -126 or shorter (winning 75%).
• Minnesota has a record of 2-3 when it is set as the underdog by +108 or more by oddsmakers this season.
• Based on this matchup's moneyline, the Nuggets' implied win probability is 55.8%.

Dunkel Index Prediction for Nuggets vs. Timberwolves

• Pick ATS: Timberwolves (+ 2.5)
• Pick OU: Under (239.5)
  
• Prediction: Nuggets 117 - Timberwolves 116
• Check out the rest of our Dunkel Index NBA Picks!