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Nuggets vs. Mavericks Dunkel NBA Picks, Predictions and Odds - Dec. 23

23 December 2025 By Data Skrive

The Dallas Mavericks (11-19) will host the Denver Nuggets (21-7) after victories in four straight home games.

Tuesday's matchup between the Nuggets and the Mavericks sees the Nuggets as a solid, 7-point favorite. The matchup has an over/under of 235.5.

Nuggets vs. Mavericks Odds and Game Time

  • Game day: Tuesday, December 23, 2025
  • Game time: 8 p.m. ET
  • Location: Dallas, Texas
  • Arena: American Airlines Center
  • Total: 235.5 points
  • Spread: Nuggets -7
  • Moneyline: Nuggets (-255), Mavericks (+210)

How to watch Nuggets vs. Mavericks

  • TV Channel: NBC/Peacock

Betting the Over/Under: Nuggets vs. Mavericks

  • In 18 of 28 games this season, the Nuggets and their opponents have scored more than 235.5 points.
  • The Mavericks have combined with their opponent to score more than 235.5 points in eight of 30 games this season.
  • These two teams average 238.1 points per game between them, 2.6 more than this game's point total.
  • These teams give up 232.9 points per game combined, 2.6 points fewer than this matchup's total.
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Betting the Spread: Nuggets vs. Mavericks

  • Denver has put together a 17-11-0 ATS record so far this year.
  • The Nuggets are 10-7 ATS this season when playing as at least 7-point favorites.
  • The Mavericks have won 13 games against the spread this year, while failing to cover or pushing 17 times.
  • Dallas is 6-4 ATS this year when playing as at least 7-point underdogs.
  • The Mavericks are 8-8-1 against the spread, and 8-9 overall, at home this season.
  • At home, Dallas is winless ATS (0-2-1) as a 7-point underdog or more.
  • The Nuggets are 9-5 against the spread, and 12-2 overall, away from home.
  • Away from home, as 7-point favorites or more, Denver is 4-2 ATS.

Betting the Moneyline: Nuggets vs. Mavericks

  • The Nuggets are 19-5 in games they were favored on the moneyline (winning 79.2% of those games).
  • The Mavericks have won seven, or 35%, of the 20 games they've played as underdogs this season.
  • Denver has a record of 14-4 in games it has played as a moneyline favorite with odds of -255 or shorter (winning 77.8%).
  • Dallas has a record of 3-8, a 27.3% win rate, when it is set as the underdog by +210 or more by bookmakers this season.
  • The Nuggets have a 71.8% chance to win this matchup based on the moneyline's implied probability.

Dunkel Index Prediction for Nuggets vs. Mavericks

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