Nuggets vs. Mavericks Dunkel NBA Picks, Predictions and Odds - Dec. 23
23 December 2025

The Dallas Mavericks (11-19) will host the Denver Nuggets (21-7) after victories in four straight home games.
Tuesday's matchup between the Nuggets and the Mavericks sees the Nuggets as a solid, 7-point favorite. The matchup has an over/under of 235.5.
Nuggets vs. Mavericks Odds and Game Time
- Game day: Tuesday, December 23, 2025
- Game time: 8 p.m. ET
- Location: Dallas, Texas
- Arena: American Airlines Center
- Total: 235.5 points
- Spread: Nuggets -7
- Moneyline: Nuggets (-255), Mavericks (+210)
How to watch Nuggets vs. Mavericks
- TV Channel: NBC/Peacock
Betting the Over/Under: Nuggets vs. Mavericks
- In 18 of 28 games this season, the Nuggets and their opponents have scored more than 235.5 points.
- The Mavericks have combined with their opponent to score more than 235.5 points in eight of 30 games this season.
- These two teams average 238.1 points per game between them, 2.6 more than this game's point total.
- These teams give up 232.9 points per game combined, 2.6 points fewer than this matchup's total.
Betting the Spread: Nuggets vs. Mavericks
- Denver has put together a 17-11-0 ATS record so far this year.
- The Nuggets are 10-7 ATS this season when playing as at least 7-point favorites.
- The Mavericks have won 13 games against the spread this year, while failing to cover or pushing 17 times.
- Dallas is 6-4 ATS this year when playing as at least 7-point underdogs.
- The Mavericks are 8-8-1 against the spread, and 8-9 overall, at home this season.
- At home, Dallas is winless ATS (0-2-1) as a 7-point underdog or more.
- The Nuggets are 9-5 against the spread, and 12-2 overall, away from home.
- Away from home, as 7-point favorites or more, Denver is 4-2 ATS.
Betting the Moneyline: Nuggets vs. Mavericks
- The Nuggets are 19-5 in games they were favored on the moneyline (winning 79.2% of those games).
- The Mavericks have won seven, or 35%, of the 20 games they've played as underdogs this season.
- Denver has a record of 14-4 in games it has played as a moneyline favorite with odds of -255 or shorter (winning 77.8%).
- Dallas has a record of 3-8, a 27.3% win rate, when it is set as the underdog by +210 or more by bookmakers this season.
- The Nuggets have a 71.8% chance to win this matchup based on the moneyline's implied probability.
Dunkel Index Prediction for Nuggets vs. Mavericks
- Pick ATS: Mavericks (+ 7)
- Pick OU:
Over (235.5)
- Prediction: Nuggets 123 - Mavericks 119
- Check out the rest of our Dunkel Index NBA Picks!
