Nuggets vs. Mavericks Dunkel NBA Picks, Predictions and Odds - Dec. 1

The Denver Nuggets (14-5) will try to stop a three-game home losing skid when squaring off versus the Dallas Mavericks (6-15) on December 1, 2025 at Ball Arena.

Denver is a double-digit 11-point favorite against Dallas when the Nuggets hit the court against the Mavericks on Monday. The game's point total is 233.5.

Nuggets vs. Mavericks Odds and Game Time

• Game day: Monday, December 1, 2025
• Game time: 9 p.m. ET
• Location: Denver, Colorado
• Arena: Ball Arena
• Total: 233.5 points
• Spread: Nuggets -11
• Moneyline: Nuggets (-592), Mavericks (+430)

How to watch Nuggets vs. Mavericks

• TV Channel: Altitude Sports
• Live Stream: Fubo

Betting the Over/Under: Nuggets vs. Mavericks

• In 13 of 19 games this season, the Nuggets and their opponents have gone over 233.5 points.
• The Mavericks have played five games this season that finished with a point total above 233.5 points.
• The teams average 235 points per game combined, 1.5 more points than this game's total.
• These teams surrender 231 points per game combined, 2.5 points fewer than this matchup's over/under.

Betting the Spread: Nuggets vs. Mavericks

• Denver has compiled a 12-7-0 ATS record so far this year.
• The Nuggets have been favored by 11 points or more six times this season, and covered the spread in two of those games.
• The Mavericks have covered nine times in 21 matchups with a spread this season.
• Dallas has covered the spread once this year (1-1 ATS) when playing as at least 11-point underdogs.
• At home this season, the Nuggets are 5-4 against the spread and 6-3 overall.
• At home, as a 11-point favorite or more, Denver has two wins ATS (2-3).
• Away from home, the Mavericks are 4-4 against the spread, and 2-6 overall.

Betting the Moneyline: Nuggets vs. Mavericks

• The Nuggets have won 76.5% of the games this season when they were the moneyline favorite (13-4).
• The Mavericks have entered the game as underdogs 14 times this season and won three, or 21.4%, of those games.
• Denver has gone 3-1 when playing as a moneyline favorite with odds of -592 or shorter (winning 75%).
• Dallas has not won as an underdog of +430 or more on the moneyline this season in two games with those odds or longer.
• Based on this matchup's moneyline, the Nuggets' implied win probability is 85.5%.

Dunkel Index Prediction for Nuggets vs. Mavericks

• Pick ATS: Mavericks (+ 11)
• Pick OU: Over (233.5)
  
• Prediction: Nuggets 122 - Mavericks 115
• Check out the rest of our Dunkel Index NBA Picks!