Broncos vs. Commanders Week 13 Dunkel NFL Picks, Predictions and Odds

Having lost six in a row, the Washington Commanders (3-8) will face the Denver Broncos (9-2). The Broncos are the favorites, expected to win by at least a field goal but less than a touchdown (currently -6.5). An over/under of 43.5 points has been established for the matchup.

The Broncos rank 15th in points scored this season (23.4 points per game), but they've been thriving on the other side of the ball, ranking third-best in the NFL with 17.5 points allowed per game. The Commanders' defense has been bottom-five in total defense this season, ceding 387 total yards per game, which ranks second-worst. Offensively, they rank 17th with 330.2 total yards per contest.

Broncos vs. Commanders Odds and Game Time

• Date: Sunday, November 30, 2025
• Time: 8:20 p.m. ET
• City: Landover, Maryland
• Venue: Northwest Stadium
• Total: 43.5 points
• Spread: Broncos -6.5
• Moneyline: Broncos (-290), Commanders (+235)

How to watch Broncos vs. Commanders

• TV Channel: NBC (WRCDT – Washington, D.C.)
• Live Stream: Fubo

Betting the Over/Under: Broncos vs. Commanders

• In three of 11 games this season, the Broncos and their opponents have gone over 43.5 points.
• Denver and its opponent have combined to go over the point total three out of 11 times this season.
• Commanders games this season have had a combined scoring total higher than 43.5 points in seven of 11 outings.
• So far this year, five of Washington's 11 games with a set number have gone over the point total.
• These teams average a combined 44.9 points per game, 1.4 more points than this matchup's total.
• Opponents of these teams score 44.4 combined points per game, 0.9 more points than this contest's over/under.

Betting the Spread: Broncos vs. Commanders

• Denver has won five games against the spread this season, while failing to cover six times.
• Denver has been favored by 6.5 points or more five times this season, and covered the spread in one of those games.
• The Commanders have compiled a 3-8-0 record against the spread this year.
• Washington has not covered the spread when an underdog by 6.5 points or more this year (in two opportunities).
• The Commanders have two wins against the spread, and are 2-3 overall, at home this season.
• At home, Washington is winless ATS (0-1) as 6.5-point underdogs or more.
• On the road, the Broncos have two wins against the spread and are 3-2 overall.
• Denver is winless ATS (0-1) on the road as 6.5-point favorites or more.

Betting the Moneyline: Broncos vs. Commanders

• Denver has won six of the seven games it was favored on the moneyline this season (85.7%).
• The Commanders have been underdogs in eight games this season and won one (12.5%) of those contests.
• Denver has won all five games it has played as a moneyline favorite with odds of -290 or shorter.
• Washington has not won as an underdog of +235 or more on the moneyline this season in two such games.
• The implied moneyline probability for this matchup gives the Broncos a 74.4% chance to win.

Dunkel Prediction for Broncos vs. Commanders

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