Broncos vs. Chiefs Week 17 Dunkel NFL Picks, Predictions and Odds

The Denver Broncos (12-3) are big favorites (-13.5) over the Kansas City Chiefs (6-9). The Chiefs have lost four games straight. An over/under of 36.5 points has been set for the matchup.

The Broncos have the 13th-ranked offense this season (24.1 points per game), and they've been more effective on defense, ranking fifth-best with just 19.7 points allowed per game. The Chiefs' defensive unit has been paving the way for the team, as they rank fourth-best in the NFL with 19.6 points conceded per contest. In terms of offense, they are putting up 22.5 points per game, which ranks 20th.

Broncos vs. Chiefs Odds and Game Time

• Date: Thursday, December 25, 2025
• Time: 8:15 p.m. ET
• City: Kansas City, Missouri
• Venue: GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium
• Total: 36.5 points
• Spread: Broncos -13.5
• Moneyline: Broncos (-1099), Chiefs (+700)

How to watch Broncos vs. Chiefs

• TV Channel: ABC (KMGH - Denver)
• Live Stream: Fubo

Betting the Over/Under: Broncos vs. Chiefs

• Broncos games this season have gone over this contest's total of 36.5 points 10 times.
• Denver games have gone over the point total seven out of 15 times this season.
• The Chiefs have played nine games this season that ended with a point total above 36.5 points.
• Kansas City and its opponent have combined to go over the point total four out of 15 times this season.
• These teams rack up 46.6 points per game between them, 10.1 more than this game's over/under.
• Opponents of these teams average 39.3 points per game combined, 2.8 more points than this matchup's total.

Betting the Spread: Broncos vs. Chiefs

• Denver has covered the spread six times in 15 games this season.
• The Chiefs are 5-10-0 ATS this year.
• The Chiefs are 5-3 overall, and 4-4 against the spread, at home.
• On the road, the Broncos have two wins against the spread and are 5-2 overall.

Betting the Moneyline: Broncos vs. Chiefs

• Denver has won 80% of the games this season when it was favored on the moneyline (8-2).
• The Chiefs have split the two games they've played as underdogs this season.
• Denver has not played a game this season with moneyline odds of -1099 or shorter.
• Kansas City has not been a bigger underdog this season than the +700 moneyline set for this game.
• Based on this matchup's moneyline, the Broncos have an implied win probability of 91.7%.

Dunkel Prediction for Broncos vs. Chiefs

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