Broncos vs. Jaguars Week 16 Dunkel NFL Picks, Predictions and Odds
16 December 2025

The Denver Broncos (12-2) and Jacksonville Jaguars (10-4) will face off, with both teams coming off wins -- the Broncos have won 11 in a row, the Jaguars five in a row. Denver is the favorite (currently -3.5). The expected point total for the matchup is set at 46.5.
On defense, the Broncos have been a top-five unit, ranking fourth-best by surrendering only 287.7 yards per game. They rank 11th on offense (345.5 yards per game). From an offensive standpoint, the Jaguars are accumulating 26.9 points per contest (eighth-ranked). They rank 10th in the NFL on defense (20.9 points given up per game).
Broncos vs. Jaguars Odds and Game Time
- Date: Sunday, December 21, 2025
- Time: 4:05 p.m. ET
- City: Denver, Colorado
- Venue: Empower Field at Mile High
- Total: 46.5 points
- Spread: Broncos -3.5
- Moneyline: Broncos (-175), Jaguars (+145)
How to watch Broncos vs. Jaguars
- TV Channel: FOX (KNIN-Boise, ID)
- Live Stream: Fubo
Betting the Over/Under: Broncos vs. Jaguars
- The Broncos' 14 games this season have gone over this contest's total of 46.5 points five times.
- So far this season, six of Denver's 14 games have gone over the point total.
- The Jaguars have played eight games this season that ended with a combined score higher than 46.5 points.
- In Jacksonville's 14 contests this year, the combined scoring has gone over the point total eight times.
- The teams combine to score 51.3 points per game, 4.8 more points than this matchup's point total.
- Combined, these teams give up 39.5 points per game, 7.0 fewer points than this matchup's total.
Betting the Spread: Broncos vs. Jaguars
- Denver has covered the spread six times in 14 games this season.
- Denver has been favored by 3.5 points or more eight times this season, and covered the spread in two of those games.
- The Jaguars are 9-5-0 ATS this season.
- Jacksonville has been an underdog by 3.5 points or more three times this year, and covered the spread in two of those contests.
- At home this year, the Broncos are 4-3 against the spread and 7-0 overall.
- At home, as 3.5-point favorites or greater, Denver has two wins ATS (2-3).
- Away from home, the Jaguars are 4-2 overall and 3-3 against the spread.
- Jacksonville has one win ATS (1-1) as 3.5-point underdogs or more away from home.
Betting the Moneyline: Broncos vs. Jaguars
- Denver has compiled an 8-1 record in games they were favored on the moneyline (winning 88.9% of those games).
- The Jaguars have been underdogs in seven games this season and won four (57.1%) of those contests.
- Denver has played eight times as a moneyline favorite with odds of -175 or shorter, and claimed a victory in each game.
- Jacksonville has entered three games this season as the underdog by +145 or more and is 2-1 in those contests.
- The implied moneyline probability for this matchup gives the Broncos a 63.6% chance to win.
Dunkel Prediction for Broncos vs. Jaguars
| ATS | Over/Under | Score Prediction |
|---|---|---|
| Broncos (-3.5) | Under (46.5) | Broncos 25 - Jaguars 18 |
For more expert NFL picks, visit our Dunkel Index NFL Picks and Predictions.
