Cincinnati vs. Tarleton State Dunkel Predictions & Vegas Odds - Dec. 1

The Cincinnati Bearcats (5-2) host the Tarleton State Texans (5-3) at Fifth Third Arena, tipping off at 7 p.m. ET on Monday, December 1, 2025. The Bearcats are 17.5-point favorites in the game. The matchup has an over/under set at 144.5 points.

Cincinnati enters this matchup on the heels of a 64-56 loss to Eastern Michigan on Wednesday. Day Day Thomas' team-leading 17 points paced Cincinnati in the loss. Tarleton State won its most recent outing 67-57 against Midwestern State on Friday. Jordan Mizell's team-high 14 points paced Tarleton State in the win.

Cincinnati vs. Tarleton State Odds and Game Time

• When: Monday, December 1, 2025 at 7 p.m. ET
• Where: Fifth Third Arena in Cincinnati, Ohio
• Spread favorite: Cincinnati -17.5
• Moneyline favorite: Cincinnati -2941
• Moneyline underdog: Tarleton State +1243
• Over/Under: 144.5 points

How to watch Cincinnati vs. Tarleton State

• TV Channel: ESPN+
• Check out the rest of our Dunkel Index NCAA Basketball Picks!

Betting the Over/Under: Cincinnati vs. Tarleton State

• Cincinnati and its opponents have combined to score more than 144.5 points in a game twice this season.
• Five of Tarleton State's games have ended with a combined score higher than 144.5 points this season.
• Together, the two teams combine for 151.9 points per game, 7.4 points more than the total of 144.5 for this matchup.
• This matchup's point total is 4.1 fewer points than the 140.4 these two teams combine to give up per game in 2024.
• On average, the over/under in Cincinnati's games is 4.9 fewer points than the over/under of 144.5 in this contest.
• The over/under for this game is 8.3 points lower than the average over/under in Tarleton State's games this season (152.8 points).

Betting the Spread: Cincinnati vs. Tarleton State

• Cincinnati has covered the spread on two occasions this season.
• The Bearcats have covered the spread once this season when favored by 17.5 points or more (in five chances).
• Tarleton State is 5-1-0 against the spread this year.
• The Texans have been underdogs by 17.5 points or more two times this year and have covered the spread every time.
• Cincinnati has two wins against the spread, and is 5-1 overall, at home this year.
• At home, Cincinnati has one win ATS (1-4) as a 17.5-point favorite or more.
• This year in away games, Tarleton State is 3-1 against the spread and 1-3 overall.

Betting the Moneyline: Cincinnati vs. Tarleton State

• Cincinnati has won four of the five games it has played as the moneyline favorite this season.
• The Bearcats are 3-1 this season when entering a game favored by -2941 or more on the moneyline.
• The implied probability of a win from Cincinnati, based on the moneyline, is 96.7%.
• Tarleton State has been chosen as moneyline underdogs in four games this year and has walked away with the win one time (25%) in those games.
• The Texans have been listed as an underdog of +1243 or more on two occasions this season and lost both games.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies Tarleton State has a 7.4% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.