Hornets vs. Heat Dunkel NBA Picks, Predictions and Odds - March 17

The Charlotte Hornets (34-34) are home in Southeast Division play against the Miami Heat (38-30) on March 17, 2026. It's the fourth matchup between these squads this year.

The Hornets are currently 5.5-point favorites against the Heat. A 234.5-point total is set for the matchup.

Hornets vs. Heat Odds and Game Time

• Game day: Tuesday, March 17, 2026
• Game time: 7 p.m. ET
• Location: Charlotte, North Carolina
• Arena: Spectrum Center
• Total: 234.5 points
• Spread: Hornets -5.5
• Moneyline: Hornets (-205), Heat (+172)

How to watch Hornets vs. Heat

• TV Channel: FDSSUN, FDSSE

Betting the Over/Under: Hornets vs. Heat

• Hornets games this season have gone over this contest's total of 234.5 points 23 times.
• The Heat have combined with their opponents to score more than 234.5 points in 37 of 68 games this season.
• These two teams average 235.9 points per game between them, 1.4 more than this game's total.
• Opponents of these two teams combine to score 228.9 points per game, 5.6 fewer points than this matchup's over/under.

Betting the Spread: Hornets vs. Heat

• Charlotte has compiled a 40-27-1 ATS record so far this year.
• The Hornets have covered the spread eight times this season (8-3-1 ATS) when playing as at least 5.5-point favorites.
• The Heat are 41-26-1 ATS this year.
• Miami has covered the spread nine times this season (9-4-1 ATS) when playing as at least 5.5-point underdogs.
• The Hornets are 18-12-1 against the spread, and 14-17 overall, at home this season.
• As a 5.5-point favorite or more at home, Charlotte is 4-2-1 ATS.
• In away games, the Heat are 20-12-1 against the spread, and 15-18 overall.
• This year, as 5.5-point underdogs or more away from home, Miami is 3-2 ATS.

Betting the Moneyline: Hornets vs. Heat

• The Hornets have won 78.3% of the games this season when they were the moneyline favorite (18-5).
• This season, the Heat have won 16 out of the 33 games, or 48.5%, in which they've been the underdog.
• When it has played as a moneyline favorite with odds of -205 or shorter, Charlotte has gone 10-1 (90.9% win percentage).
• Miami has a record of 4-10, a 28.6% win rate, when it is set as the underdog by +172 or more by bookmakers this season.
• The Hornets have an implied moneyline win probability of 67.2% in this game.

Dunkel Index Prediction for Hornets vs. Heat

• Pick ATS: Heat (+ 5.5)
• Pick OU: Over (234.5)
  
• Prediction: Heat 120 - Hornets 119
• Check out the rest of our Dunkel Index NBA Picks!