Canadiens vs. Maple Leafs NHL Predictions, Picks and Odds - Nov. 22

Both the Montreal Canadiens and Toronto Maple Leafs are coming off a defeat, heading into their meeting at Bell Centre on Saturday at 7 p.m. ET. The oddsmakers have made the Canadiens solid favorites at -135 on the moneyline, and the Maple Leafs are at +114.

Montreal was handed a 8-4 defeat at home its last time out on Nov. 20 against the Washington Capitals. The Canadiens were led by Brendan Gallagher (one goal and one assist) and Michael Matheson (one goal and one assist).

Toronto lost 3-2 in overtime at home against the Columbus Blue Jackets in its most recent game on Nov. 20. John Tavares led the Maple Leafs with two points (one goal and one assist) in that matchup.

Here's our prediction for who will secure the win in Saturday's matchup.

Canadiens vs. Maple Leafs Predictions & Pick

Ahead of the upcoming game between the Montreal Canadiens and Toronto Maple Leafs, computer-calculated moneyline, over/under, and score predictions are below, sourced from Dunkel Index.

• Prediction: Maple Leafs 4 - Canadiens 3
• Pick OU: Over 6.5 (Dunkel projecting 7.10 goals)
  

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Canadiens vs. Maple Leafs Moneylines

Grab a peek below at the latest moneylines for the Canadiens-Maple Leafs game.

• Favorite: Canadiens (-135)
• Underdog: Maple Leafs (+114)

Canadiens Betting Insights

• The Canadiens have won 58.3% of their games when they've been a moneyline favorite this season (7-5).
• Montreal is 4-3 when it has played with moneyline odds of -135 or shorter (57.1% win percentage).
• Based on this matchup's moneyline, the Canadiens have an implied probability of 57.4% to win.
• Montreal and its opponent have posted more than 6.5 goals in 13 of 20 games this season.

Maple Leafs Betting Insights

• The Maple Leafs have been an underdog in four games this season, and did not win any of them.
• Toronto has played as a moneyline underdog of +114 or longer twice so far this season. They lost both games.
• The sportsbooks' moneyline implies a 46.7% chance of victory for the Maple Leafs.
• Toronto has played 16 games this season that finished with over 6.5 goals.

Canadiens Key Stats

• Montreal ranks 11th in the NHL with 67 goals scored (3.4 per game).
• The Canadiens have conceded 72 total goals (3.6 per game), ranking 26th in NHL play in goals against.
• It has the league's 23rd-ranked goal differential at -5.
• The 13 power-play goals the Canadiens have scored this season rank 14th in the NHL (on 59 power-play chances).
• Montreal is 13th in the league with a 22.03% power-play conversion rate.
• The two shorthanded goals the Canadiens have scored this season rank 10th among NHL squads.
• Montreal has the league's 23rd-ranked penalty-kill percentage (76.81%).
• Montreal has the 12th-ranked faceoff win percentage in the NHL, at 51%.
• The Canadiens have a 13.2% shooting percentage as a team, which leads the league.

Maple Leafs Key Stats

• With 72 goals (3.4 per game), Toronto has the league's fifth-best offense.
• The Maple Leafs' total of 77 goals conceded (3.7 per game) is 29th in the NHL.
• With a goal differential of -5, the team is 23rd in the league.
• The Maple Leafs have eight power-play goals (30th in NHL) on 55 chances.
• Toronto has the NHL's 27th-ranked power-play percentage (14.55%).
• In terms of shorthanded goal, the Maple Leafs have one.
• At 79.03%, Toronto has the 19th-ranked penalty-kill percentage in the league.
• At 56.4%, Toronto has the league's second-best faceoff win rate.
• The 12.3% shooting percentage of the Maple Leafs is fifth in the league.