Canadiens vs. Lightning NHL Predictions, Picks and Odds - Dec. 9

The Montreal Canadiens (15-10-3) host the Tampa Bay Lightning (16-11-2) on Tuesday, Dec. 9, with both coming off a loss in their last game. The Lightning are small underdogs, at -102, and the Canadiens are -118.

Montreal fell in a 4-3 defeat at home its last time out on Dec. 7 against the St. Louis Blues. Noah Dobson led the Canadiens with two points (one goal and one assist).

Tampa Bay's most recent game was a road loss, 2-0, to the Toronto Maple Leafs on Dec. 9. Jonas Johansson made 22 saves for the Lightning while allowing one Maple Leafs goal in that outing.

As hockey play continues, prepare for the contest by checking out which team we project to win Tuesday's game.

Canadiens vs. Lightning Predictions & Pick

For insights on the upcoming game between the Montreal Canadiens and Tampa Bay Lightning, computer-calculated moneyline, over/under, and score predictions are below, per Dunkel Index.

• Prediction: Lightning 3 - Canadiens 2
• Pick OU: Under 6.5 (Dunkel projecting 4.98 goals)
  

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Canadiens vs. Lightning Moneylines

Snag a look below at the latest moneylines for the Canadiens-Lightning game.

• Favorite: Canadiens (-118)
• Underdog: Lightning (-102)

Canadiens Betting Insights

• In the 14 times this season the Canadiens have been a moneyline favorite, they have gone 8-6 in those games.
• When it has played with moneyline odds of -118 or shorter, Montreal is 7-6 (winning 53.8% of the time).
• Based on the moneyline in this matchup, the Canadiens' implied win probability is 54.1%.
• Montreal and its opponent have gone over 6.5 combined goals in 18 of 28 games this season.

Lightning Betting Insights

• This season the Lightning have been an underdog eight times, and won five of those games.
• Tampa Bay has entered eight games this season as an underdog by -102 or more and is 5-3 in those contests.
• Sportsbooks have implied, given the moneyline set for this matchup, that the Lightning have a 50.5% chance to win.
• Tampa Bay has played 11 games this season that ended with more than 6.5 goals.

Canadiens Key Stats

• Montreal's 90 total goals (3.2 per game) make it the 11th-ranked scoring team in the NHL.
• Defensively, the Canadiens are conceding 97 total goals (3.5 per game) to rank 24th in league play.
• Its -7 goal differential ranks 21st in the league.
• The 20 power-play goals the Canadiens have recorded this season (ninth-most in the NHL) have come on 78 power-play chances.
• Montreal is fourth in the league with a 25.64% power-play conversion rate.
• The two shorthanded goals the Canadiens have scored this season rank 13th among NHL squads.
• Montreal has the league's 25th-ranked penalty-kill percentage (77.53%).
• Montreal has the 16th-ranked faceoff win rate in the NHL, at 49.7%.
• The Canadiens have a 12.7% shooting percentage as a team, which ranks second in the league.

Lightning Key Stats

• Tampa Bay has 88 goals this season (3.0 per game), 12th in the league.
• The Lightning have one of the top defenses in the league, giving up 75 total goals (2.6 per game), fifth in the NHL.
• Its +13 goal differential is the fourth-best in the league.
• With 13 power-play goals (on 89 chances), the Lightning are 25th in the NHL.
• Tampa Bay scores on 14.61% of its power plays, No. 29 in the league.
• In terms of shorthanded goals, the Lightning have two.
• Tampa Bay's penalty-kill rate is 86.96%, No. 1 in the league.
• Tampa Bay is 30th in faceoff win rate in the NHL (45.9%).
• The 11.1% shooting percentage of the Lightning is 15th in the league.