Cal vs. Notre Dame Dunkel Predictions & Vegas Odds - Jan. 2

The California Golden Bears (12-2, 0-1 ACC) host the Notre Dame Fighting Irish (10-4, 1-0 ACC) at Haas Pavilion, tipping off at 11 p.m. ET on Friday, January 2, 2026. The Fighting Irish are 4.5-point underdogs in the game. The point total is 137.5 for the matchup.

In its last game on Tuesday, Cal suffered a 90-70 loss to Louisville. Chris Bell's team-leading 20 points paced Cal in the loss. In its most recent outing on Tuesday, Notre Dame earned a 47-40 victory against Stanford. Jalen Haralson scored a team-best 13 points for Notre Dame in the victory.

Cal vs. Notre Dame Odds and Game Time

• When: Friday, January 2, 2026 at 11 p.m. ET
• Where: Haas Pavilion in Berkeley, California
• Spread favorite: Cal -4.5
• Moneyline favorite: Cal -195
• Moneyline underdog: Notre Dame +162
• Over/Under: 137.5 points

How to watch Cal vs. Notre Dame

• TV Channel: ESPN2
• Live Stream: Fubo
• Check out the rest of our Dunkel Index NCAA Basketball Picks!

Betting the Over/Under: Cal vs. Notre Dame

• Cal and its opponents have combined to outscore Friday's over/under (137.5 points) 10 times this season.
• This season, eight of Notre Dame's games have ended with a combined score higher than 137.5 points.
• Together, the two teams combine for 156.7 points per game, 19.2 points more than the total of 137.5 for this contest.
• These two teams give up a combined 134.8 points per game, 2.7 less than this contest's over/under.
• On average, Cal has had a 150.5-point over/under in its games this season, 13.0 more points than the over/under in this matchup.
• A difference of 3.4 points separates the average over/under in Notre Dame's games (140.9 points) and this contest's over/under (137.5).

Betting the Spread: Cal vs. Notre Dame

• In Cal's 13 games this year, it has seven wins against the spread.
• So far this season, the Golden Bears have been installed as favorites by a 4.5-point margin or more 10 times and are 5-5 ATS in those games.
• Notre Dame has played 14 games, with nine wins against the spread.
• So far this season, the Fighting Irish have been installed as underdogs by a 4.5-point margin or more five times and are 4-1 ATS in those games.
• At home this year, Cal is 5-6 against the spread and 10-1 overall.
• At home, as a 4.5-point favorite or greater, Cal is 5-5 ATS.
• In away games, Notre Dame is 3-0 against the spread, and 2-1 overall.

Betting the Moneyline: Cal vs. Notre Dame

• This season, Cal has been listed as the moneyline favorite in 10 games and won them all.
• The Golden Bears have been at least a -195 moneyline favorite 10 times this season and won each of those games.
• The implied probability of a win from Cal, based on the moneyline, is 66.1%.
• Notre Dame has been a moneyline underdog in six games this season and has come away with the win three times (50%) in those contests.
• The Fighting Irish have a win-loss record of 2-3 with odds of +162 or worse this year.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies Notre Dame has a 38.2% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.

Dunkel Index Prediction for Cal vs. Notre Dame

• Pick ATS: Notre Dame (+ 4.5)
• Pick OU: Over (137.5)
  
• Prediction: Cal 75 - Notre Dame 74