Red Sox vs. Rays Dunkel MLB Picks, Predictions and Prop Bets - May 9

The Boston Red Sox and Tampa Bay Rays meet on Saturday at 4:10 p.m. ET. Payton Tolle (1-1, 2.04 ERA) will start for the Red Sox, who are 17-22 this season and fourth in the AL East. Nick Martinez (3-1, 1.71 ERA) is the expected starter for the Rays, who are 25-13 and second in the AL East.

The Red Sox are moderate favorites on the moneyline (-154) at home over the Rays (+128). The total for this contest is 7.5.

Red Sox vs. Rays Odds, Game Time

• Game day: Saturday, May 9, 2026
• Game time: 4:10 p.m. ET
• Location: Boston, Massachusetts
• Stadium: Fenway Park
• Favorite: Red Sox (-154)
• Underdog: Rays (+128)
• Over/under: 7.5

How to Watch Red Sox vs. Rays

• TV Channel: NESN and RAYS
• Live Stream: Fubo (Watch for free)

Bet now on FanDuel Sportsbook!

Red Sox vs. Rays: Betting the Moneyline

• The Red Sox have won 12 of the 26 games they were the moneyline favorite this season (46.2%).
• Tampa Bay has been pegged as an underdog in 18 games this year and has walked away with the win 10 times (55.6%) in those games.
• Boston has entered five games this season favored by -154 or more and is 2-3 in those contests.
• The Rays have yet to lose in three games when named as moneyline underdog of +128 or worse.
• Based on this contest's moneyline, the Red Sox's implied win probability is 60.6%.
• The Rays have an implied victory probability of 43.9% according to the moneyline set by oddsmakers for this matchup.

Red Sox vs. Rays: Betting the Spread & Total

• In the 39 games in which bookmakers have set an over/under for the Red Sox, they have combined with opponents to go over the total 18 times (18-19-2).
• So far this season, Tampa Bay and its opponents have hit the over in 17 of its 38 games with a total.
• The Red Sox have gone 14-25-0 ATS this season.
• The Rays have an against the spread record of 23-15-0 in 38 games with a line this season.